Missouri's 5th congressional district race remains unsettled due to ongoing litigation over the state's 2025 redistricting plan, which Republican legislators enacted to shift the Kansas City-based seat toward GOP-leaning territory. Courts have yet to resolve whether the new boundaries or the prior map will apply for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver has filed for reelection amid a crowded Republican primary featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin and other challengers. This procedural uncertainty drives the current trader consensus, as a favorable map for Republicans would improve their path to victory while the existing lines would favor the Democratic incumbent. Primary elections are scheduled for August 4, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
51%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,729 Обс.
63%
Democratic Party
$1,156 Обс.
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district race remains unsettled due to ongoing litigation over the state's 2025 redistricting plan, which Republican legislators enacted to shift the Kansas City-based seat toward GOP-leaning territory. Courts have yet to resolve whether the new boundaries or the prior map will apply for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver has filed for reelection amid a crowded Republican primary featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin and other challengers. This procedural uncertainty drives the current trader consensus, as a favorable map for Republicans would improve their path to victory while the existing lines would favor the Democratic incumbent. Primary elections are scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,885Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district race remains unsettled due to ongoing litigation over the state's 2025 redistricting plan, which Republican legislators enacted to shift the Kansas City-based seat toward GOP-leaning territory. Courts have yet to resolve whether the new boundaries or the prior map will apply for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver has filed for reelection amid a crowded Republican primary featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin and other challengers. This procedural uncertainty drives the current trader consensus, as a favorable map for Republicans would improve their path to victory while the existing lines would favor the Democratic incumbent. Primary elections are scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,885Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 5th congressional district race remains unsettled due to ongoing litigation over the state's 2025 redistricting plan, which Republican legislators enacted to shift the Kansas City-based seat toward GOP-leaning territory. Courts have yet to resolve whether the new boundaries or the prior map will apply for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver has filed for reelection amid a crowded Republican primary featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin and other challengers. This procedural uncertainty drives the current trader consensus, as a favorable map for Republicans would improve their path to victory while the existing lines would favor the Democratic incumbent. Primary elections are scheduled for August 4, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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