Redistricting under Missouri’s new congressional map has shifted the 5th District’s partisan balance, creating a Republican-leaning seat centered on Kansas City and surrounding areas. This structural change positions Republican candidates as favorites in the 2026 general election despite incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver’s long tenure. Multiple Republicans, including state Sen. Rick Brattin, have filed for the August 4 primary, while Cleaver seeks re-election on the Democratic side. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns the Republican Party a clear edge, consistent with several nonpartisan race ratings that now classify the contest as competitive or Republican-favored. The outcome will hinge on primary results and November turnout in the altered district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,756 Обс.
70%
Democratic Party
$1,174 Обс.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Missouri’s new congressional map has shifted the 5th District’s partisan balance, creating a Republican-leaning seat centered on Kansas City and surrounding areas. This structural change positions Republican candidates as favorites in the 2026 general election despite incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver’s long tenure. Multiple Republicans, including state Sen. Rick Brattin, have filed for the August 4 primary, while Cleaver seeks re-election on the Democratic side. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns the Republican Party a clear edge, consistent with several nonpartisan race ratings that now classify the contest as competitive or Republican-favored. The outcome will hinge on primary results and November turnout in the altered district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,930Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Missouri’s new congressional map has shifted the 5th District’s partisan balance, creating a Republican-leaning seat centered on Kansas City and surrounding areas. This structural change positions Republican candidates as favorites in the 2026 general election despite incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver’s long tenure. Multiple Republicans, including state Sen. Rick Brattin, have filed for the August 4 primary, while Cleaver seeks re-election on the Democratic side. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns the Republican Party a clear edge, consistent with several nonpartisan race ratings that now classify the contest as competitive or Republican-favored. The outcome will hinge on primary results and November turnout in the altered district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,930Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Missouri’s new congressional map has shifted the 5th District’s partisan balance, creating a Republican-leaning seat centered on Kansas City and surrounding areas. This structural change positions Republican candidates as favorites in the 2026 general election despite incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver’s long tenure. Multiple Republicans, including state Sen. Rick Brattin, have filed for the August 4 primary, while Cleaver seeks re-election on the Democratic side. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns the Republican Party a clear edge, consistent with several nonpartisan race ratings that now classify the contest as competitive or Republican-favored. The outcome will hinge on primary results and November turnout in the altered district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання