OpenAI's GPT-5.5 (codenamed "Spud"), a major large language model upgrade with rumored 40% gains in coding, reasoning, and agentic benchmarks over GPT-5.4, drives Polymarket's 74.5% implied probability for an April 23 release, reflecting trader consensus on leaks confirming pretraining completion March 24, 2026, at the Stargate facility. Intensifying AI competition—Anthropic's Opus 4.7 rollout on Vertex AI and Mythos limited previews—has accelerated post-training and safety evaluations, aligning with OpenAI's monthly cadence seen in recent 5.x iterations. Greg Brockman's nods to the first new pre-train in two years bolster sentiment, though no official announcement exists and timelines could slip due to red-teaming or regulatory scrutiny. April 24 (6.3%) trails as a contingency, with "no release by April 30" at 5.5% signaling high conviction in near-term deployment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGPT-5.5 released on...?
GPT-5.5 released on...?
April 23 75%
April 24 5.9%
No release by April 30 5.5%
April 22 3.9%
$140,411 Обс.
$140,411 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
April 18
<1%
April 19
<1%
April 20
1%
April 21
1%
April 22
4%
April 23
75%
April 24
6%
April 25
<1%
April 26
1%
April 27
1%
April 28
2%
April 29
2%
April 30
4%
No release by April 30
6%
April 23 75%
April 24 5.9%
No release by April 30 5.5%
April 22 3.9%
$140,411 Обс.
$140,411 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
April 18
$2,130 Обс.
<1%
April 19
$2,892 Обс.
<1%
April 20
$2,481 Обс.
1%
April 21
$4,562 Обс.
1%
April 22
$6,263 Обс.
4%
April 23
$30,043 Обс.
75%
April 24
$3,177 Обс.
6%
April 25
$1,743 Обс.
<1%
April 26
$2,060 Обс.
1%
April 27
$2,524 Обс.
1%
April 28
$2,923 Обс.
2%
April 29
$2,763 Обс.
2%
April 30
$4,514 Обс.
4%
No release by April 30
$9,080 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's GPT-5.5 (codenamed "Spud"), a major large language model upgrade with rumored 40% gains in coding, reasoning, and agentic benchmarks over GPT-5.4, drives Polymarket's 74.5% implied probability for an April 23 release, reflecting trader consensus on leaks confirming pretraining completion March 24, 2026, at the Stargate facility. Intensifying AI competition—Anthropic's Opus 4.7 rollout on Vertex AI and Mythos limited previews—has accelerated post-training and safety evaluations, aligning with OpenAI's monthly cadence seen in recent 5.x iterations. Greg Brockman's nods to the first new pre-train in two years bolster sentiment, though no official announcement exists and timelines could slip due to red-teaming or regulatory scrutiny. April 24 (6.3%) trails as a contingency, with "no release by April 30" at 5.5% signaling high conviction in near-term deployment.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$140,411Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Вікно оскарження
Фінальний
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's GPT-5.5 (codenamed "Spud"), a major large language model upgrade with rumored 40% gains in coding, reasoning, and agentic benchmarks over GPT-5.4, drives Polymarket's 74.5% implied probability for an April 23 release, reflecting trader consensus on leaks confirming pretraining completion March 24, 2026, at the Stargate facility. Intensifying AI competition—Anthropic's Opus 4.7 rollout on Vertex AI and Mythos limited previews—has accelerated post-training and safety evaluations, aligning with OpenAI's monthly cadence seen in recent 5.x iterations. Greg Brockman's nods to the first new pre-train in two years bolster sentiment, though no official announcement exists and timelines could slip due to red-teaming or regulatory scrutiny. April 24 (6.3%) trails as a contingency, with "no release by April 30" at 5.5% signaling high conviction in near-term deployment.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$140,411Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Вікно оскарження
Фінальний
OpenAI's GPT-5.5 (codenamed "Spud"), a major large language model upgrade with rumored 40% gains in coding, reasoning, and agentic benchmarks over GPT-5.4, drives Polymarket's 74.5% implied probability for an April 23 release, reflecting trader consensus on leaks confirming pretraining completion March 24, 2026, at the Stargate facility. Intensifying AI competition—Anthropic's Opus 4.7 rollout on Vertex AI and Mythos limited previews—has accelerated post-training and safety evaluations, aligning with OpenAI's monthly cadence seen in recent 5.x iterations. Greg Brockman's nods to the first new pre-train in two years bolster sentiment, though no official announcement exists and timelines could slip due to red-teaming or regulatory scrutiny. April 24 (6.3%) trails as a contingency, with "no release by April 30" at 5.5% signaling high conviction in near-term deployment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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