Recent reports of internal friction at OpenAI, including CFO Sarah Friar's warnings that CEO Sam Altman's targeted 2026 IPO timeline is overly aggressive amid $121 billion in projected 2028 compute costs and profitability not expected until 2029, have tempered trader optimism, positioning "December 31, 2026" at 37% implied probability on Polymarket—the leading outcome reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus. This follows groundwork laid in late 2025 for a potential $1 trillion valuation filing in the second half of 2026, bolstered by hiring a former DocuSign CFO for investor relations. Traders eye upcoming S-1 filings or leadership resolutions as pivotal, against rising regulatory scrutiny on AI labs and competitive pressures from Anthropic's rumored public plans.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOpenAI IPO від...?
OpenAI IPO від...?
$1,164,001 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
30 червня 2026
4%
31 грудня 2026 року
36%
$1,164,001 Обс.
30 червня 2026
$237,894 Обс.
4%
31 грудня 2026 року
$430,580 Обс.
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Recent reports of internal friction at OpenAI, including CFO Sarah Friar's warnings that CEO Sam Altman's targeted 2026 IPO timeline is overly aggressive amid $121 billion in projected 2028 compute costs and profitability not expected until 2029, have tempered trader optimism, positioning "December 31, 2026" at 37% implied probability on Polymarket—the leading outcome reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus. This follows groundwork laid in late 2025 for a potential $1 trillion valuation filing in the second half of 2026, bolstered by hiring a former DocuSign CFO for investor relations. Traders eye upcoming S-1 filings or leadership resolutions as pivotal, against rising regulatory scrutiny on AI labs and competitive pressures from Anthropic's rumored public plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,164,001Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Recent reports of internal friction at OpenAI, including CFO Sarah Friar's warnings that CEO Sam Altman's targeted 2026 IPO timeline is overly aggressive amid $121 billion in projected 2028 compute costs and profitability not expected until 2029, have tempered trader optimism, positioning "December 31, 2026" at 37% implied probability on Polymarket—the leading outcome reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus. This follows groundwork laid in late 2025 for a potential $1 trillion valuation filing in the second half of 2026, bolstered by hiring a former DocuSign CFO for investor relations. Traders eye upcoming S-1 filings or leadership resolutions as pivotal, against rising regulatory scrutiny on AI labs and competitive pressures from Anthropic's rumored public plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,164,001Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports of internal friction at OpenAI, including CFO Sarah Friar's warnings that CEO Sam Altman's targeted 2026 IPO timeline is overly aggressive amid $121 billion in projected 2028 compute costs and profitability not expected until 2029, have tempered trader optimism, positioning "December 31, 2026" at 37% implied probability on Polymarket—the leading outcome reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus. This follows groundwork laid in late 2025 for a potential $1 trillion valuation filing in the second half of 2026, bolstered by hiring a former DocuSign CFO for investor relations. Traders eye upcoming S-1 filings or leadership resolutions as pivotal, against rising regulatory scrutiny on AI labs and competitive pressures from Anthropic's rumored public plans.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання