Discord's confidential SEC filing in January 2026 and secondary-market pricing near $8.5 billion have anchored trader expectations for an eventual IPO valuation clustered in the 8–11 billion range, while the near-tie with the "no IPO by December 31, 2027" outcome reflects ongoing delays from regulatory backlogs, lack of a public S-1, and subdued IPO market conditions. Revenue growth to roughly $550–600 million ARR has not reversed the sharp reset from the 2021 peak above $15 billion, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to any public filing timeline, updated financial disclosures, or shifts in equity risk appetite.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
8–11B 25%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 23.0%
<5B 16%
20B+ 15.5%
$29,580 Обс.
$29,580 Обс.
<5B
16%
5–8B
12%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
8%
14–17B
3%
17–20B
7%
20B+
16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
8–11B 25%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 23.0%
<5B 16%
20B+ 15.5%
$29,580 Обс.
$29,580 Обс.
<5B
16%
5–8B
12%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
8%
14–17B
3%
17–20B
7%
20B+
16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord's confidential SEC filing in January 2026 and secondary-market pricing near $8.5 billion have anchored trader expectations for an eventual IPO valuation clustered in the 8–11 billion range, while the near-tie with the "no IPO by December 31, 2027" outcome reflects ongoing delays from regulatory backlogs, lack of a public S-1, and subdued IPO market conditions. Revenue growth to roughly $550–600 million ARR has not reversed the sharp reset from the 2021 peak above $15 billion, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to any public filing timeline, updated financial disclosures, or shifts in equity risk appetite.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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