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icon for GPT-5.4 released by...?

GPT-5.4 released by...?

icon for GPT-5.4 released by...?

GPT-5.4 released by...?

$0.00 Обс.

Polymarket

$0.00 Обс.

Polymarket

March 5

$0 Обс.

Yes

March9

$0 Обс.

Yes

March 16

$0 Обс.

Yes

March 31

$0 Обс.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.4 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.3, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.5, GPT-5.6, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

GPT-5.4 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.3, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.5, GPT-5.6, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$0
Ринок відкрито
Mar 4, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.4 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.3, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.5, GPT-5.6, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.4 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.3, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.5, GPT-5.6, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

GPT-5.4 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.3, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.5, GPT-5.6, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$0
Ринок відкрито
Mar 4, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.4 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.3, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.5, GPT-5.6, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«GPT-5.4 released by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «March 5» з 100%, далі «March9» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«GPT-5.4 released by...?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Mar 4, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «GPT-5.4 released by...?», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «GPT-5.4 released by...?» — «March 5» з 100%. Наступний — «March9» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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