Anthropic's recent releases of Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 have driven the overwhelming 97.7% market-implied odds by delivering state-of-the-art results on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and strong performance in agentic workflows, long-context reasoning, and safety evaluations that outpace competitors. These large language models demonstrate measurable gains in enterprise reliability and complex task automation, reinforcing trader consensus around sustained leadership through the end of August. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants and Google's Gemini iterations maintain competitive multimodal capabilities but trail on the most demanding metrics. A last-minute flagship launch from another lab that surpasses Anthropic on independent third-party benchmarks could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has best AI model end of August?
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Anthropic 97.5%
OpenAI 1.4%
Google <1%
Meta <1%
$1,898,480 Обс.
$1,898,480 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
98%
OpenAI
1%
<1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 97.5%
OpenAI 1.4%
Google <1%
Meta <1%
$1,898,480 Обс.
$1,898,480 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
$388,046 Обс.
98%
OpenAI
$162,123 Обс.
1%
$146,742 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$155,849 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$145,625 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$160,028 Обс.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$160,773 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$234,450 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$108,007 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$15,032 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$11,009 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$9,778 Обс.
<1%
Bytedance
$118,819 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$11,465 Обс.
<1%
Thinky
$14,084 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$28,168 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$4,351 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$3,803 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$4,363 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$4,993 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$11,524 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent releases of Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 have driven the overwhelming 97.7% market-implied odds by delivering state-of-the-art results on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and strong performance in agentic workflows, long-context reasoning, and safety evaluations that outpace competitors. These large language models demonstrate measurable gains in enterprise reliability and complex task automation, reinforcing trader consensus around sustained leadership through the end of August. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants and Google's Gemini iterations maintain competitive multimodal capabilities but trail on the most demanding metrics. A last-minute flagship launch from another lab that surpasses Anthropic on independent third-party benchmarks could still shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,898,480Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent releases of Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 have driven the overwhelming 97.7% market-implied odds by delivering state-of-the-art results on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and strong performance in agentic workflows, long-context reasoning, and safety evaluations that outpace competitors. These large language models demonstrate measurable gains in enterprise reliability and complex task automation, reinforcing trader consensus around sustained leadership through the end of August. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants and Google's Gemini iterations maintain competitive multimodal capabilities but trail on the most demanding metrics. A last-minute flagship launch from another lab that surpasses Anthropic on independent third-party benchmarks could still shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$1,898,480Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent releases of Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 have driven the overwhelming 97.7% market-implied odds by delivering state-of-the-art results on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and strong performance in agentic workflows, long-context reasoning, and safety evaluations that outpace competitors. These large language models demonstrate measurable gains in enterprise reliability and complex task automation, reinforcing trader consensus around sustained leadership through the end of August. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants and Google's Gemini iterations maintain competitive multimodal capabilities but trail on the most demanding metrics. A last-minute flagship launch from another lab that surpasses Anthropic on independent third-party benchmarks could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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