Google’s consistent placement of multiple Gemini 3.x Flash variants in the top tier of Text Arena math leaderboards, just behind Anthropic’s Claude family, drives the 69.5% implied probability for second place. As of early September 2026 snapshots, Anthropic models such as claude-fable-5 and claude-opus-5-max hold the highest Elo ratings in the math category through sustained human-preference votes, while Google’s entries occupy the next cluster with strong aggregate lab depth and no other provider matching that breadth. Recent OpenAI claims on advanced mathematical proofs have not yet translated into comparable Text Arena positioning, leaving the field stable heading into the September 30 resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google 71%
Anthropic 14.0%
OpenAI 8.9%
Alibaba 1.1%
$55,537 Обс.
$55,537 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
71%
Anthropic
14%
OpenAI
9%
Alibaba
1%
Meta
1%
Z.ai
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 71%
Anthropic 14.0%
OpenAI 8.9%
Alibaba 1.1%
$55,537 Обс.
$55,537 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
$17,391 Обс.
71%
Anthropic
$6,960 Обс.
14%
OpenAI
$6,863 Обс.
9%
Alibaba
$5,707 Обс.
1%
Meta
$1,403 Обс.
1%
Z.ai
$1,419 Обс.
1%
Moonshot
$1,403 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$1,337 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,231 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,412 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$1,227 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,653 Обс.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$1,001 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$951 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$566 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s consistent placement of multiple Gemini 3.x Flash variants in the top tier of Text Arena math leaderboards, just behind Anthropic’s Claude family, drives the 69.5% implied probability for second place. As of early September 2026 snapshots, Anthropic models such as claude-fable-5 and claude-opus-5-max hold the highest Elo ratings in the math category through sustained human-preference votes, while Google’s entries occupy the next cluster with strong aggregate lab depth and no other provider matching that breadth. Recent OpenAI claims on advanced mathematical proofs have not yet translated into comparable Text Arena positioning, leaving the field stable heading into the September 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$55,537Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s consistent placement of multiple Gemini 3.x Flash variants in the top tier of Text Arena math leaderboards, just behind Anthropic’s Claude family, drives the 69.5% implied probability for second place. As of early September 2026 snapshots, Anthropic models such as claude-fable-5 and claude-opus-5-max hold the highest Elo ratings in the math category through sustained human-preference votes, while Google’s entries occupy the next cluster with strong aggregate lab depth and no other provider matching that breadth. Recent OpenAI claims on advanced mathematical proofs have not yet translated into comparable Text Arena positioning, leaving the field stable heading into the September 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$55,537Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Google’s consistent placement of multiple Gemini 3.x Flash variants in the top tier of Text Arena math leaderboards, just behind Anthropic’s Claude family, drives the 69.5% implied probability for second place. As of early September 2026 snapshots, Anthropic models such as claude-fable-5 and claude-opus-5-max hold the highest Elo ratings in the math category through sustained human-preference votes, while Google’s entries occupy the next cluster with strong aggregate lab depth and no other provider matching that breadth. Recent OpenAI claims on advanced mathematical proofs have not yet translated into comparable Text Arena positioning, leaving the field stable heading into the September 30 resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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