Incumbent Democratic Representative Ted Lieu's re-election bid anchors trader consensus for California's 36th congressional district, where the party holds a 93 percent implied probability. The district's coastal Los Angeles County footprint features consistent Democratic voter registration advantages and strong performance in recent cycles. Primary filings ahead of the June 2 top-two contest show multiple Democratic entrants alongside limited Republican opposition, with no signs of meaningful crossover appeal or external funding shifts. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health-related withdrawal, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though current candidate quality and structural leanings limit realistic pathways for the opposing party.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,296 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$4,386 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Ted Lieu's re-election bid anchors trader consensus for California's 36th congressional district, where the party holds a 93 percent implied probability. The district's coastal Los Angeles County footprint features consistent Democratic voter registration advantages and strong performance in recent cycles. Primary filings ahead of the June 2 top-two contest show multiple Democratic entrants alongside limited Republican opposition, with no signs of meaningful crossover appeal or external funding shifts. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health-related withdrawal, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though current candidate quality and structural leanings limit realistic pathways for the opposing party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,683Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Ted Lieu's re-election bid anchors trader consensus for California's 36th congressional district, where the party holds a 93 percent implied probability. The district's coastal Los Angeles County footprint features consistent Democratic voter registration advantages and strong performance in recent cycles. Primary filings ahead of the June 2 top-two contest show multiple Democratic entrants alongside limited Republican opposition, with no signs of meaningful crossover appeal or external funding shifts. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health-related withdrawal, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though current candidate quality and structural leanings limit realistic pathways for the opposing party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$9,683Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Ted Lieu's re-election bid anchors trader consensus for California's 36th congressional district, where the party holds a 93 percent implied probability. The district's coastal Los Angeles County footprint features consistent Democratic voter registration advantages and strong performance in recent cycles. Primary filings ahead of the June 2 top-two contest show multiple Democratic entrants alongside limited Republican opposition, with no signs of meaningful crossover appeal or external funding shifts. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health-related withdrawal, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though current candidate quality and structural leanings limit realistic pathways for the opposing party.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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