Trader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats gaining majorities in both the House and Senate—at 82%, driven by persistent Democratic leads on the generic ballot averaging +6 points in April polls and strong overperformance in recent special elections. A POLITICO analysis released yesterday shows Democrats outperforming 2024 presidential margins in 193 of 229 state and federal races since President Trump's inauguration, signaling momentum in battleground districts amid historical midterm penalties for the incumbent party. While the Senate map favors Republicans with fewer vulnerable seats, House dynamics and swing state polling have fueled optimism for a full sweep, though economic shifts or GOP unity could narrow the gap ahead of November primaries and the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$35,847 Обс.
$35,847 Обс.
Nov 30, 2026
$35,847 Обс.
$35,847 Обс.
Nov 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats gaining majorities in both the House and Senate—at 82%, driven by persistent Democratic leads on the generic ballot averaging +6 points in April polls and strong overperformance in recent special elections. A POLITICO analysis released yesterday shows Democrats outperforming 2024 presidential margins in 193 of 229 state and federal races since President Trump's inauguration, signaling momentum in battleground districts amid historical midterm penalties for the incumbent party. While the Senate map favors Republicans with fewer vulnerable seats, House dynamics and swing state polling have fueled optimism for a full sweep, though economic shifts or GOP unity could narrow the gap ahead of November primaries and the general election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Обсяг
$35,847Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats gaining majorities in both the House and Senate—at 82%, driven by persistent Democratic leads on the generic ballot averaging +6 points in April polls and strong overperformance in recent special elections. A POLITICO analysis released yesterday shows Democrats outperforming 2024 presidential margins in 193 of 229 state and federal races since President Trump's inauguration, signaling momentum in battleground districts amid historical midterm penalties for the incumbent party. While the Senate map favors Republicans with fewer vulnerable seats, House dynamics and swing state polling have fueled optimism for a full sweep, though economic shifts or GOP unity could narrow the gap ahead of November primaries and the general election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Обсяг
$35,847Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats gaining majorities in both the House and Senate—at 82%, driven by persistent Democratic leads on the generic ballot averaging +6 points in April polls and strong overperformance in recent special elections. A POLITICO analysis released yesterday shows Democrats outperforming 2024 presidential margins in 193 of 229 state and federal races since President Trump's inauguration, signaling momentum in battleground districts amid historical midterm penalties for the incumbent party. While the Senate map favors Republicans with fewer vulnerable seats, House dynamics and swing state polling have fueled optimism for a full sweep, though economic shifts or GOP unity could narrow the gap ahead of November primaries and the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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