Maura Sullivan has surged to an 85.5% implied probability in the NH-01 Democratic primary, driven by consistent fundraising leadership—raising over $3.2 million with $1.6 million cash on hand—and recent polling gains that placed her ahead of Stefany Shaheen in the August UNH survey. Sullivan's profile as a Marine Corps veteran and former Obama administration official has drawn veteran endorsements and grassroots support, contrasting with Shaheen's early frontrunner status as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. Progressive consolidation around Carleigh Beriont and Heath Howard's prior endorsement of her have kept those shares low, while Christian Urrutia's recent exit and backing of Shaheen appears to have limited impact ahead of the September 8 vote. Trader consensus reflects Sullivan's resource and momentum edge in the final stretch.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMaura Sullivan 85%
Stefany Shaheen 13%
Carleigh Beriont 2.0%
Heath Howard <1%
$173,858 Обс.
$173,858 Обс.

Maura Sullivan
85%

Stefany Shaheen
13%

Carleigh Beriont
2%

Heath Howard
<1%
Maura Sullivan 85%
Stefany Shaheen 13%
Carleigh Beriont 2.0%
Heath Howard <1%
$173,858 Обс.
$173,858 Обс.

Maura Sullivan
85%

Stefany Shaheen
13%

Carleigh Beriont
2%

Heath Howard
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Maura Sullivan has surged to an 85.5% implied probability in the NH-01 Democratic primary, driven by consistent fundraising leadership—raising over $3.2 million with $1.6 million cash on hand—and recent polling gains that placed her ahead of Stefany Shaheen in the August UNH survey. Sullivan's profile as a Marine Corps veteran and former Obama administration official has drawn veteran endorsements and grassroots support, contrasting with Shaheen's early frontrunner status as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. Progressive consolidation around Carleigh Beriont and Heath Howard's prior endorsement of her have kept those shares low, while Christian Urrutia's recent exit and backing of Shaheen appears to have limited impact ahead of the September 8 vote. Trader consensus reflects Sullivan's resource and momentum edge in the final stretch.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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