Recent polling averages place Ra'am, running independently under Mansour Abbas, at around five Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with most surveys showing five or six and a few at four. The party's position reflects steady Arab-sector support amid broader fragmentation, where neither major bloc consistently reaches a 61-seat majority and Arab lists together project roughly 13 seats. The Supreme Court's early October reversal of the Central Elections Committee's disqualification bids removed a key legal hurdle but left limited time for full mobilization. Close margins in overall polling, variability in turnout and surplus-vote dynamics with the Joint List, and competition near the 3.25 percent threshold keep projections for Ra'am tightly clustered between four and six seats. Late-campaign shifts in Arab voter participation or last-minute alliances could still alter the final count.