Polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party, formed in 2025 after his split from National Unity, in a narrow lead or tie for the largest Zionist opposition list ahead of the October 27 election, with recent surveys ranging from 20 to 24 seats. Fluctuations stem from competition for anti-Netanyahu voters against B’Yachad and the Democrats, surplus-vote agreements within the bloc, and Likud’s variable performance amid ongoing security and coalition debates. No major late mergers have altered the field, and turnout dynamics plus final-week campaigning could still shift results by a few mandates, sustaining the tight spread across the 20–27 seat range in trader pricing.