Погода

Температура

Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 1?

20°C

50%

Yes No

21°C

33%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$16K Обс.

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 1?

28°C

56%

Yes No

29°C

36%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$12K Обс.

Щодня

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 1?

36°C

31%

Yes No

37°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$12K Обс.

Щодня

Highest temperature in Munich on October 1?

25°C

39%

Yes No

24°C

36%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$12K Обс.

Щодня

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 1?

33°C

55%

Yes No

32°C

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$12K Обс.

Щодня

Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 1?

86-87°F

48%

Yes No

84-85°F

25%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$10K Обс.

Щодня

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 1?

25°C

39%

Yes No

24°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$10K Обс.

Щодня

Highest temperature in Wellington on October 1?

15°C

61%

Yes No

16°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 1?

28°C

60%

Yes No

29°C

22%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in London on October 1?

21°C

56%

Yes No

20°C

33%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 1?

35°C

42%

Yes No

34°C

26%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 1?

33°C

44%

Yes No

32°C

26%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 1?

21°C

49%

Yes No

22°C

33%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 1?

76-77°F

36%

Yes No

78-79°F

33%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 1?

71°F or below

32%

Yes No

72-73°F

23%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 1?

23°C

52%

Yes No

24°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Denver on October 1?

68-69°F

38%

Yes No

70-71°F

25%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Miami on October 1?

84-85°F

37%

Yes No

86-87°F

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Seattle on October 1?

66-67°F

30%

Yes No

68-69°F

26%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Madrid on October 1?

28°C

48%

Yes No

29°C

45%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 1?

27°C

37%

Yes No

28°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 1?

22°C

42%

Yes No

21°C

27%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 1?

20°C

50%

Yes No

19°C

39%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Busan on October 1?

25°C

41%

Yes No

26°C

32%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Jeddah on October 1?

36°C

59%

Yes No

35°C

30%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 1?

23°C

37%

Yes No

22°C

35%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Manila on October 1?

33°C

43%

Yes No

34°C

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 1?

23°C

59%

Yes No

24°C

33%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Paris on October 1?

22°C

49%

Yes No

21°C

27%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 1?

33°C

47%

Yes No

32°C

42%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Karachi on October 1?

33°C

57%

Yes No

32°C

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Singapore on October 1?

31°C

46%

Yes No

32°C

32%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 1?

24°C

20%

Yes No

23°C

19%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 1?

20°C

50%

Yes No

21°C

27%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 1?

33°C

39%

Yes No

34°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Chicago on October 1?

70-71°F

33%

Yes No

72-73°F

30%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 1?

15°C

44%

Yes No

14°C

36%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Moscow on October 1?

13°C

48%

Yes No

14°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 1?

20°C

44%

Yes No

19°C

40%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Dallas on October 1?

80-81°F

29%

Yes No

78-79°F

27%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in NYC on October 1?

78-79°F

42%

Yes No

76-77°F

25%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 1?

24°C

39%

Yes No

25°C

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 1?

16°C

52%

Yes No

15°C

37%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Paris on October 1?

14°C

51%

Yes No

13°C

26%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 1?

26°C

26%

Yes No

25°C

25%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Austin on October 1?

84-85°F

28%

Yes No

82-83°F

23%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Ankara on October 1?

17°C

44%

Yes No

18°C

33%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 1?

16°C

35%

Yes No

17°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Toronto on October 1?

23°C

38%

Yes No

22°C

26%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in London on October 1?

14°C

49%

Yes No

15°C

35%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 1?

22°C

45%

Yes No

21°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Panama City on October 1?

31°C

41%

Yes No

30°C

28%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Milan on October 1?

23°C

41%

Yes No

24°C

34%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Taipei on October 1?

26°C

44%

Yes No

20°C or below

59%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Houston on October 1?

90-91°F

42%

Yes No

92-93°F

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 1?

25°C

33%

Yes No

26°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Wellington on October 1?

11°C

36%

Yes No

7°C or below

71%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in NYC on October 1?

66-67°F

46%

Yes No

64-65°F

27%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Qingdao on October 1?

20°C or higher

78%

Yes No

10°C or below

77%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Seattle on October 1?

62°F or higher

97%

Yes No

56-57°F

46%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Munich on October 1?

6°C or below

47%

Yes No

16°C or higher

80%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Milan on October 1?

11°C or below

85%

Yes No

21°C or higher

83%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 1?

21°C

59%

Yes No

17°C or below

58%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Austin on October 1?

67°F or below

100%

Yes No

86°F or higher

100%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Karachi on October 1?

26°C

47%

Yes No

21°C or below

68%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Helsinki on October 1?

-1°C or below

92%

Yes No

9°C or higher

91%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Chengdu on October 1?

20°C

44%

Yes No

15°C or below

62%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Miami on October 1?

78-79°F

35%

Yes No

76-77°F

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Chicago on October 1?

74°F or higher

98%

Yes No

62-63°F

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Houston on October 1?

92°F or higher

93%

Yes No

80-81°F

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Dallas on October 1?

76-77°F

28%

Yes No

80-81°F

26%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Lucknow on October 1?

23°C

46%

Yes No

24°C

44%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Chongqing on October 1?

26°C or higher

77%

Yes No

18°C

20%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 1?

6°C or below

97%

Yes No

16°C or higher

97%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 1?

6°C or below

92%

Yes No

15°C

91%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Busan on October 1?

22°C or higher

78%

Yes No

15°C

30%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on October 1?

22°C or below

92%

Yes No

32°C or higher

92%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Istanbul on October 1?

12°C or below

85%

Yes No

16°C

40%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Wuhan on October 1?

21°C or higher

83%

Yes No

14°C

30%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Atlanta on October 1?

59°F or below

95%

Yes No

78°F or higher

95%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 1?

24°C or higher

99%

Yes No

17°C

98%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Jeddah on October 1?

24°C or below

92%

Yes No

34°C or higher

91%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on October 1?

9°C or below

94%

Yes No

14°C

40%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on October 1?

76°F or higher

95%

Yes No

66-67°F

68%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on October 1?

33°C or higher

78%

Yes No

29°C

37%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Toronto on October 1?

22°C or higher

93%

Yes No

12°C or below

92%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Cape Town on October 1?

10°C or below

78%

Yes No

20°C or higher

77%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Moscow on October 1?

10°C or higher

100%

Yes No

2°C

22%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Mexico City on October 1?

9°C or below

94%

Yes No

19°C or higher

94%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on October 1?

66°F or higher

96%

Yes No

52-53°F

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Denver on October 1?

62°F or higher

84%

Yes No

43°F or below

81%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 1?

4°C or below

100%

Yes No

14°C or higher

95%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Madrid on October 1?

13°C or below

98%

Yes No

15°C

22%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Ankara on October 1?

5°C or below

90%

Yes No

15°C or higher

90%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Опади

Precipitation in NYC in September?

5-6"

96%

Yes No

>6"

Yes No

$81K Обс.

Щомісяця

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

1.5-2"

96%

Yes No

2-2.5"

Yes No

$60K Обс.

Щомісяця

Precipitation in London in September?

<30mm

93%

Yes No

30-40mm

Yes No

$37K Обс.

Щомісяця

Precipitation in Seoul in September?

<75mm

95%

Yes No

75-100mm

Yes No

$33K Обс.

Щомісяця

Where will it rain on September 29?

Miami, FL

100%

Yes No

Phoenix, AZ

96%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Where will it rain on September 30?

Miami, FL

86%

Yes No

Denver, CO

82%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

<275mm

100%

Yes No

375-400mm

Yes No

$26K Обс.

Щомісяця

Посуха

When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

Does not return by November 1, 2026

51%

Yes No

October 1 - 31, 2026

47%

Yes No

$101K Обс.

When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

No return before November 1, 2026

71%

Yes No

October 1 - 31, 2026

31%

Yes No

$73K Обс.

How low will Lake Mead drop?

1,028–1,033 ft

45%

Yes No

Below 1,028 ft

45%

Yes No

$23K Обс.

How low will Lake Powell drop?

Above 3,510 ft

82%

Yes No

3,500–3,510 ft

18%

Yes No

$21K Обс.

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

-1.00 to 0.99 ft

50%

Yes No

-3.00 to -1.01 ft

18%

Yes No

$11K Обс.

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026

Oklahoma

99%

Yes No

Colorado

99%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щотижня

Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?

20% to 39.99%

33%

Yes No

5% to 19.99%

22%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft

43%

Yes No

Below 4,189.3 ft

25%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?

4.00 to 4.99 ft

33%

Yes No

5.00 to 5.99 ft

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 29, 2026?

5-6 states

50%

Yes No

7-9 states

50%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щотижня

Глобальні

Де 2026 рік займе місце серед найспекотніших років в історії?

71%

Так.Ні.

30%

Так.Ні.

$4M Обс.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

шанс

Yes

$347K Обс.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$248K Обс.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$147K Обс.

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

4.4-4.6m sq km

98%

Yes No

4.6-4.8m sq km

Yes No

$92K Обс.

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

Over 2.5

78%

Yes No

2.25–2.5

18%

Yes No

$61K Обс.

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Other

50%

Yes No

Isaias

29%

Yes No

$55K Обс.

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?

12%

шанс

Yes

$52K Обс.

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

53%

Yes No

1-3

35%

Yes No

$50K Обс.

Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

New York (NYISO)

Yes No

Central US (SPP)

Yes No

$46K Обс.

When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026

99%

Yes No

September 26 to September 30, 2026

Yes No

$43K Обс.

Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

Florida

30%

Yes No

Louisiana

14%

Yes No

$22K Обс.

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?

6.5+

100%

Yes No

7.0+

Yes No

$21K Обс.

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...? card icon

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?

шанс

Yes

$17K Обс.

First snow of the 2026 season

Indianapolis, IN by November 30

98%

Yes No

Denver, CO by November 30

95%

Yes No

$13K Обс.

How strong will Hurricane Polo be?

Category 5

98%

Yes No

Category 1 or weaker

<1%

Yes No

$13K Обс.

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

-1.00 to 0.99 ft

50%

Yes No

-3.00 to -1.01 ft

18%

Yes No

$11K Обс.

How strong will Nolo be?

Category 4

96%

Yes No

Category 5

Yes No

НОВЕ

Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?

99%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

96%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?

20% to 39.99%

33%

Yes No

5% to 19.99%

22%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Surigae makes landfall in Japan?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in September?

≥80 mph

100%

Yes No

≥95 mph

100%

Yes No

НОВЕ

September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

2nd hottest

98%

Yes No

1st hottest

Yes No

НОВЕ

Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?

Japan

44%

Yes No

Mexico

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щомісяця

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 28 - October 4?

≤6

50%

Yes No

12%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щотижня

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft

43%

Yes No

Below 4,189.3 ft

25%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Tropical Storm Fay strengthens to a hurricane?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.35–1.39ºC

57%

Yes No

1.40–1.44ºC

18%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щомісяця

Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?

4.00 to 4.99 ft

33%

Yes No

5.00 to 5.99 ft

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

How strong will Rachel be?

Category 3

38%

Yes No

Category 4

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

69%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

63%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

99%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Rain during the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

11%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 28 - October 4?

58%

Yes No

30%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щотижня

All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?

50%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

US Tornadoes in September 2026

25 - 49

74%

Yes No

50 - 74

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щомісяця

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

23%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

60%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Торнадо

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+

92%

Yes No

1150–1199

Yes No

$83K Обс.

Which cities face tornado risk on September 29?

Nashville, TN

<1%

Yes No

Memphis, TN

<1%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

US Tornadoes in September 2026

25 - 49

74%

Yes No

50 - 74

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щомісяця

Урагани

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

шанс

Yes

$347K Обс.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$248K Обс.

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

шанс

Yes

$142K Обс.

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

Greater than 8

52%

Yes No

37%

Yes No

$94K Обс.

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Other

50%

Yes No

Isaias

29%

Yes No

$55K Обс.

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?

12%

шанс

Yes

$52K Обс.

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

53%

Yes No

1-3

35%

Yes No

$50K Обс.

When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026

99%

Yes No

September 26 to September 30, 2026

Yes No

$43K Обс.

Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

Florida

30%

Yes No

Louisiana

14%

Yes No

$22K Обс.

How strong will Hurricane Polo be?

Category 5

98%

Yes No

Category 1 or weaker

<1%

Yes No

$13K Обс.

How strong will Nolo be?

Category 4

96%

Yes No

Category 5

Yes No

НОВЕ

Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?

99%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Surigae makes landfall in Japan?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Tropical Storm Fay strengthens to a hurricane?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

How strong will Rachel be?

Category 3

38%

Yes No

Category 4

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

11%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?

50%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Землетруси

Скільки 7,0 або вище землетрусів у 2026 році?

14–16

50%

Так.Ні.

11–13

30%

Так.Ні.

$1M Обс.

10,0 або вище землетрусу до 2027 року? card icon

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

шанс

Yes

$826K Обс.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

шанс

Yes

$330K Обс.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$248K Обс.

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?

6.5+

100%

Yes No

7.0+

Yes No

$21K Обс.

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

шанс

Yes

$20K Обс.

Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

7.9 or below

74%

Yes No

8.0 – 8.1

11%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?

Japan

44%

Yes No

Mexico

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щомісяця

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 28 - October 4?

≤6

50%

Yes No

12%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щотижня

What will the biggest earthquake be on September 29, 2026?

5.5 to 5.6

99%

Yes No

5.7 to 5.8

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 28 - October 4?

58%

Yes No

30%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щотижня

Вулкани

Скільки великих вивержень вулканів (VEI ≥4) у 2026 році?

50%

Так.Ні.

50%

Так.Ні.

$1M Обс.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$147K Обс.

Пандемії

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$18M Обс.

Випадки кору в США в 2026 році?

↑4к

98%

Так.Ні.

↑4.5k

94%

Yes No

$8M Обс.

Щомісяця

New pandemic in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$1M Обс.

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$768K Обс.

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

19%

шанс

Yes

$246K Обс.

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$140K Обс.

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

South Sudan

Yes No

Nigeria

48%

Yes No

$41K Обс.

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$27K Обс.

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

35 to 49

56%

Yes No

20 to 34

16%

Yes No

$21K Обс.

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

3700+

Yes No

3800+

<1%

Yes No

$17K Обс.

Щомісяця

New pandemic before 2028?

17%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

December 31

18%

Yes No

October 31

Yes No

НОВЕ

Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Погода

Температура

Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 1?

20°C

50%

Yes No

21°C

33%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$16K Обс.

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 1?

28°C

56%

Yes No

29°C

36%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$12K Обс.

Щодня

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 1?

36°C

31%

Yes No

37°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$12K Обс.

Щодня

Highest temperature in Munich on October 1?

25°C

39%

Yes No

24°C

36%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$12K Обс.

Щодня

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 1?

33°C

55%

Yes No

32°C

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$12K Обс.

Щодня

Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 1?

86-87°F

48%

Yes No

84-85°F

25%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$10K Обс.

Щодня

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 1?

25°C

39%

Yes No

24°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

$10K Обс.

Щодня

Highest temperature in Wellington on October 1?

15°C

61%

Yes No

16°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 1?

28°C

60%

Yes No

29°C

22%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in London on October 1?

21°C

56%

Yes No

20°C

33%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 1?

35°C

42%

Yes No

34°C

26%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 1?

33°C

44%

Yes No

32°C

26%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 1?

21°C

49%

Yes No

22°C

33%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 1?

76-77°F

36%

Yes No

78-79°F

33%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 1?

71°F or below

32%

Yes No

72-73°F

23%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 1?

23°C

52%

Yes No

24°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Denver on October 1?

68-69°F

38%

Yes No

70-71°F

25%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Miami on October 1?

84-85°F

37%

Yes No

86-87°F

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Seattle on October 1?

66-67°F

30%

Yes No

68-69°F

26%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Madrid on October 1?

28°C

48%

Yes No

29°C

45%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 1?

27°C

37%

Yes No

28°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 1?

22°C

42%

Yes No

21°C

27%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 1?

20°C

50%

Yes No

19°C

39%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Busan on October 1?

25°C

41%

Yes No

26°C

32%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Jeddah on October 1?

36°C

59%

Yes No

35°C

30%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 1?

23°C

37%

Yes No

22°C

35%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Manila on October 1?

33°C

43%

Yes No

34°C

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 1?

23°C

59%

Yes No

24°C

33%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Paris on October 1?

22°C

49%

Yes No

21°C

27%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 1?

33°C

47%

Yes No

32°C

42%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Karachi on October 1?

33°C

57%

Yes No

32°C

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Singapore on October 1?

31°C

46%

Yes No

32°C

32%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 1?

24°C

20%

Yes No

23°C

19%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 1?

20°C

50%

Yes No

21°C

27%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 1?

33°C

39%

Yes No

34°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Chicago on October 1?

70-71°F

33%

Yes No

72-73°F

30%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 1?

15°C

44%

Yes No

14°C

36%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Moscow on October 1?

13°C

48%

Yes No

14°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 1?

20°C

44%

Yes No

19°C

40%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Dallas on October 1?

80-81°F

29%

Yes No

78-79°F

27%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in NYC on October 1?

78-79°F

42%

Yes No

76-77°F

25%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 1?

24°C

39%

Yes No

25°C

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 1?

16°C

52%

Yes No

15°C

37%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Paris on October 1?

14°C

51%

Yes No

13°C

26%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 1?

26°C

26%

Yes No

25°C

25%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Austin on October 1?

84-85°F

28%

Yes No

82-83°F

23%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Ankara on October 1?

17°C

44%

Yes No

18°C

33%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 1?

16°C

35%

Yes No

17°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Toronto on October 1?

23°C

38%

Yes No

22°C

26%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in London on October 1?

14°C

49%

Yes No

15°C

35%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 1?

22°C

45%

Yes No

21°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Panama City on October 1?

31°C

41%

Yes No

30°C

28%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Milan on October 1?

23°C

41%

Yes No

24°C

34%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Taipei on October 1?

26°C

44%

Yes No

20°C or below

59%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Houston on October 1?

90-91°F

42%

Yes No

92-93°F

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 1?

25°C

33%

Yes No

26°C

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Wellington on October 1?

11°C

36%

Yes No

7°C or below

71%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in NYC on October 1?

66-67°F

46%

Yes No

64-65°F

27%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Qingdao on October 1?

20°C or higher

78%

Yes No

10°C or below

77%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Seattle on October 1?

62°F or higher

97%

Yes No

56-57°F

46%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Munich on October 1?

6°C or below

47%

Yes No

16°C or higher

80%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Milan on October 1?

11°C or below

85%

Yes No

21°C or higher

83%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 1?

21°C

59%

Yes No

17°C or below

58%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Austin on October 1?

67°F or below

100%

Yes No

86°F or higher

100%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Karachi on October 1?

26°C

47%

Yes No

21°C or below

68%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Helsinki on October 1?

-1°C or below

92%

Yes No

9°C or higher

91%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Chengdu on October 1?

20°C

44%

Yes No

15°C or below

62%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Miami on October 1?

78-79°F

35%

Yes No

76-77°F

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Chicago on October 1?

74°F or higher

98%

Yes No

62-63°F

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Houston on October 1?

92°F or higher

93%

Yes No

80-81°F

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Dallas on October 1?

76-77°F

28%

Yes No

80-81°F

26%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Lucknow on October 1?

23°C

46%

Yes No

24°C

44%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Chongqing on October 1?

26°C or higher

77%

Yes No

18°C

20%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 1?

6°C or below

97%

Yes No

16°C or higher

97%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 1?

6°C or below

92%

Yes No

15°C

91%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Busan on October 1?

22°C or higher

78%

Yes No

15°C

30%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on October 1?

22°C or below

92%

Yes No

32°C or higher

92%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Istanbul on October 1?

12°C or below

85%

Yes No

16°C

40%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Wuhan on October 1?

21°C or higher

83%

Yes No

14°C

30%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Atlanta on October 1?

59°F or below

95%

Yes No

78°F or higher

95%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 1?

24°C or higher

99%

Yes No

17°C

98%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Jeddah on October 1?

24°C or below

92%

Yes No

34°C or higher

91%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on October 1?

9°C or below

94%

Yes No

14°C

40%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on October 1?

76°F or higher

95%

Yes No

66-67°F

68%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on October 1?

33°C or higher

78%

Yes No

29°C

37%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Toronto on October 1?

22°C or higher

93%

Yes No

12°C or below

92%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Cape Town on October 1?

10°C or below

78%

Yes No

20°C or higher

77%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Moscow on October 1?

10°C or higher

100%

Yes No

2°C

22%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Mexico City on October 1?

9°C or below

94%

Yes No

19°C or higher

94%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on October 1?

66°F or higher

96%

Yes No

52-53°F

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Denver on October 1?

62°F or higher

84%

Yes No

43°F or below

81%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 1?

4°C or below

100%

Yes No

14°C or higher

95%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Madrid on October 1?

13°C or below

98%

Yes No

15°C

22%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Lowest temperature in Ankara on October 1?

5°C or below

90%

Yes No

15°C or higher

90%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Опади

Precipitation in NYC in September?

5-6"

96%

Yes No

>6"

Yes No

$81K Обс.

Щомісяця

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

1.5-2"

96%

Yes No

2-2.5"

Yes No

$60K Обс.

Щомісяця

Precipitation in London in September?

<30mm

93%

Yes No

30-40mm

Yes No

$37K Обс.

Щомісяця

Precipitation in Seoul in September?

<75mm

95%

Yes No

75-100mm

Yes No

$33K Обс.

Щомісяця

Where will it rain on September 29?

Miami, FL

100%

Yes No

Phoenix, AZ

96%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Where will it rain on September 30?

Miami, FL

86%

Yes No

Denver, CO

82%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

<275mm

100%

Yes No

375-400mm

Yes No

$26K Обс.

Щомісяця

Посуха

When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

Does not return by November 1, 2026

51%

Yes No

October 1 - 31, 2026

47%

Yes No

$101K Обс.

When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

No return before November 1, 2026

71%

Yes No

October 1 - 31, 2026

31%

Yes No

$73K Обс.

How low will Lake Mead drop?

1,028–1,033 ft

45%

Yes No

Below 1,028 ft

45%

Yes No

$23K Обс.

How low will Lake Powell drop?

Above 3,510 ft

82%

Yes No

3,500–3,510 ft

18%

Yes No

$21K Обс.

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

-1.00 to 0.99 ft

50%

Yes No

-3.00 to -1.01 ft

18%

Yes No

$11K Обс.

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026

Oklahoma

99%

Yes No

Colorado

99%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щотижня

Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?

20% to 39.99%

33%

Yes No

5% to 19.99%

22%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft

43%

Yes No

Below 4,189.3 ft

25%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?

4.00 to 4.99 ft

33%

Yes No

5.00 to 5.99 ft

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 29, 2026?

5-6 states

50%

Yes No

7-9 states

50%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щотижня

Глобальні

Де 2026 рік займе місце серед найспекотніших років в історії?

71%

Так.Ні.

30%

Так.Ні.

$4M Обс.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

шанс

Yes

$347K Обс.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$248K Обс.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$147K Обс.

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

4.4-4.6m sq km

98%

Yes No

4.6-4.8m sq km

Yes No

$92K Обс.

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

Over 2.5

78%

Yes No

2.25–2.5

18%

Yes No

$61K Обс.

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Other

50%

Yes No

Isaias

29%

Yes No

$55K Обс.

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?

12%

шанс

Yes

$52K Обс.

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

53%

Yes No

1-3

35%

Yes No

$50K Обс.

Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

New York (NYISO)

Yes No

Central US (SPP)

Yes No

$46K Обс.

When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026

99%

Yes No

September 26 to September 30, 2026

Yes No

$43K Обс.

Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

Florida

30%

Yes No

Louisiana

14%

Yes No

$22K Обс.

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?

6.5+

100%

Yes No

7.0+

Yes No

$21K Обс.

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?

шанс

Yes

$17K Обс.

First snow of the 2026 season

Indianapolis, IN by November 30

98%

Yes No

Denver, CO by November 30

95%

Yes No

$13K Обс.

How strong will Hurricane Polo be?

Category 5

98%

Yes No

Category 1 or weaker

<1%

Yes No

$13K Обс.

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

-1.00 to 0.99 ft

50%

Yes No

-3.00 to -1.01 ft

18%

Yes No

$11K Обс.

How strong will Nolo be?

Category 4

96%

Yes No

Category 5

Yes No

НОВЕ

Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?

99%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

96%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?

20% to 39.99%

33%

Yes No

5% to 19.99%

22%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Surigae makes landfall in Japan?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in September?

≥80 mph

100%

Yes No

≥95 mph

100%

Yes No

НОВЕ

September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

2nd hottest

98%

Yes No

1st hottest

Yes No

НОВЕ

Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?

Japan

44%

Yes No

Mexico

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щомісяця

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 28 - October 4?

≤6

50%

Yes No

12%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щотижня

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft

43%

Yes No

Below 4,189.3 ft

25%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Tropical Storm Fay strengthens to a hurricane?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.35–1.39ºC

57%

Yes No

1.40–1.44ºC

18%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щомісяця

Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?

4.00 to 4.99 ft

33%

Yes No

5.00 to 5.99 ft

29%

Yes No

НОВЕ

How strong will Rachel be?

Category 3

38%

Yes No

Category 4

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

69%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

63%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

99%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Rain during the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

11%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 28 - October 4?

58%

Yes No

30%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щотижня

All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?

50%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

US Tornadoes in September 2026

25 - 49

74%

Yes No

50 - 74

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щомісяця

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

23%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

60%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Торнадо

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+

92%

Yes No

1150–1199

Yes No

$83K Обс.

Which cities face tornado risk on September 29?

Nashville, TN

<1%

Yes No

Memphis, TN

<1%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

US Tornadoes in September 2026

25 - 49

74%

Yes No

50 - 74

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щомісяця

Урагани

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

шанс

Yes

$347K Обс.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$248K Обс.

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

шанс

Yes

$142K Обс.

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

Greater than 8

52%

Yes No

37%

Yes No

$94K Обс.

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Other

50%

Yes No

Isaias

29%

Yes No

$55K Обс.

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?

12%

шанс

Yes

$52K Обс.

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

53%

Yes No

1-3

35%

Yes No

$50K Обс.

When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026

99%

Yes No

September 26 to September 30, 2026

Yes No

$43K Обс.

Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

Florida

30%

Yes No

Louisiana

14%

Yes No

$22K Обс.

How strong will Hurricane Polo be?

Category 5

98%

Yes No

Category 1 or weaker

<1%

Yes No

$13K Обс.

How strong will Nolo be?

Category 4

96%

Yes No

Category 5

Yes No

НОВЕ

Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?

99%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Surigae makes landfall in Japan?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Tropical Storm Fay strengthens to a hurricane?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

How strong will Rachel be?

Category 3

38%

Yes No

Category 4

31%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

11%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?

50%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Землетруси

Скільки 7,0 або вище землетрусів у 2026 році?

14–16

50%

Так.Ні.

11–13

30%

Так.Ні.

$1M Обс.

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

шанс

Yes

$826K Обс.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

шанс

Yes

$330K Обс.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$248K Обс.

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?

6.5+

100%

Yes No

7.0+

Yes No

$21K Обс.

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

шанс

Yes

$20K Обс.

Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

7.9 or below

74%

Yes No

8.0 – 8.1

11%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?

Japan

44%

Yes No

Mexico

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щомісяця

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 28 - October 4?

≤6

50%

Yes No

12%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щотижня

What will the biggest earthquake be on September 29, 2026?

5.5 to 5.6

99%

Yes No

5.7 to 5.8

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щодня

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 28 - October 4?

58%

Yes No

30%

Yes No

НОВЕ

Щотижня

Вулкани

Скільки великих вивержень вулканів (VEI ≥4) у 2026 році?

50%

Так.Ні.

50%

Так.Ні.

$1M Обс.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$147K Обс.

Пандемії

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$18M Обс.

Випадки кору в США в 2026 році?

↑4к

98%

Так.Ні.

↑4.5k

94%

Yes No

$8M Обс.

Щомісяця

New pandemic in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$1M Обс.

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$768K Обс.

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

19%

шанс

Yes

$246K Обс.

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$140K Обс.

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

South Sudan

Yes No

Nigeria

48%

Yes No

$41K Обс.

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$27K Обс.

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

35 to 49

56%

Yes No

20 to 34

16%

Yes No

$21K Обс.

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

3700+

Yes No

3800+

<1%

Yes No

$17K Обс.

Щомісяця

New pandemic before 2028?

17%

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

December 31

18%

Yes No

October 31

Yes No

НОВЕ

Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Часті запитання

Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де користувачі торгують на результати реальних подій у Погода та багатьох інших темах. Ціни від 0 до 100 центів відображають ймовірність, що подія станеться.

Ринок прогнозів Погода дозволяє торгувати акціями «Так» або «Ні» на конкретне питання, пов’язане з подіями Погода, наприклад "Highest temperature in Paris on September 30?". Кожна акція виплачує $1, якщо результат на її користь, і $0 — якщо ні. Поточна ціна, наприклад 87% на "24°C", відображає ймовірність ринку.

Категорія Погода містить 316 ринків, що охоплюють широкий спектр тем. Популярні підкатегорії включають Температура, Глобальні і Урагани. Ви можете переглянути повний список підкатегорій Погода у лівій навігації.

Кожен ринок Погода має результати з цінами від 0¢ до 100¢. Ця ціна — ймовірність результату. Наприклад, якщо "24°C" торгується за 87% у "Highest temperature in Paris on September 30?", трейдери оцінюють ймовірність приблизно на цьому рівні.

Активність постійно змінюється, але ви можете відсортувати за обсягом за 24 години. Наразі "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?" — серед найактивніших ринків, разом із "Highest temperature in Paris on September 30?" та "Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 30?".

Кожен ринок Погода має чітко визначене джерело та критерії вирішення на сторінці ринку. Коли подія завершується, ринок вирішується і виграшні акції виплачуються по $1.

Ринки Погода реагують у реальному часі на новини, оголошення та зміни політики. Одна подія може суттєво змінити ймовірність результату. Перегляньте ринки, як "Highest temperature in Paris on September 30?", де рухи цін відображають безперервне оновлення поглядів трейдерів.

Polymarket наразі має 316 ринків у категорії Погода.

Так. Більшість ринків Погода дозволяють торгувати задовго до події. Приклади: "Highest temperature in Paris on September 30?" та "Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 30?".

Ринки прогнозів і традиційні прогнози — взаємодоповнюючі інструменти. Оскільки трейдери Polymarket ризикують реальним капіталом, шанси Погода агрегують інформацію від багатьох учасників.

Перегляньте сторінку Погода, щоб побачити активні ринки. Відкрийте будь-який ринок, наприклад "Highest temperature in Paris on September 30?", щоб переглянути книгу ордерів та правила, потім торгуйте акціями «Так» або «Ні».

Ринки Погода рухають ті ж каталізатори, що й реальну історію: офіційні оголошення, заплановані події, дані та важливі новини.

Кожна картка ринку на сторінках Погода відображає поточну ймовірність та обсяг торгів. Для деталей клікніть на ринок, наприклад "Highest temperature in Paris on September 30?" або "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?".