Polymarket traders price South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation with a razor-thin split between 3.0%+ at 35% implied probability and 2.7%-2.9% at 34.7%, reflecting heightened uncertainty amid oil-driven pressures. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below the 2.4% consensus forecast—buoyed by transport costs amid Middle East tensions, while core inflation eased to 2.2%. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 2.50% on April 10, projecting 2.2% annual CPI versus its 2% target, but flagged mid-to-high 2% risks; IMF forecasts diverge to 2.5%. Key swing factors include April CPI (due early May), sustained energy prices above $85/barrel, and BoK's data-dependent stance, with geopolitical volatility tilting sentiment higher.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi%3,0+ 35%
%2,7 ila %2,9 34.4%
%1,5 ile %1,7 22%
%1,8 ile %2,0 20%
$10,596 Hac.
$10,596 Hac.
%1,5'in altında
9%
%1,5 ile %1,7
22%
%1,8 ile %2,0
19%
%2,1 ila %2,3
20%
%2,4 ile %2,6
20%
%2,7 ila %2,9
34%
%3,0+
35%
%3,0+ 35%
%2,7 ila %2,9 34.4%
%1,5 ile %1,7 22%
%1,8 ile %2,0 20%
$10,596 Hac.
$10,596 Hac.
%1,5'in altında
9%
%1,5 ile %1,7
22%
%1,8 ile %2,0
19%
%2,1 ila %2,3
20%
%2,4 ile %2,6
20%
%2,7 ila %2,9
34%
%3,0+
35%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation with a razor-thin split between 3.0%+ at 35% implied probability and 2.7%-2.9% at 34.7%, reflecting heightened uncertainty amid oil-driven pressures. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below the 2.4% consensus forecast—buoyed by transport costs amid Middle East tensions, while core inflation eased to 2.2%. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 2.50% on April 10, projecting 2.2% annual CPI versus its 2% target, but flagged mid-to-high 2% risks; IMF forecasts diverge to 2.5%. Key swing factors include April CPI (due early May), sustained energy prices above $85/barrel, and BoK's data-dependent stance, with geopolitical volatility tilting sentiment higher.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
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