China's National Bureau of Statistics reported 5.0% year-on-year GDP growth for Q1 2026 on April 16, exceeding forecasts and aligning with the upper end of Beijing's official 4.5–5.0% full-year target set during March Two Sessions—the lowest since the early 1990s—bolstering trader consensus for 4.0–5.0% at 66.5%. Resilient exports and 6.1% industrial output gains offset weak retail sales and ongoing property sector slump, with new home prices down 3.2% in February amid excess supply. IMF's April forecast of 4.4% and Goldman Sachs' 4.8% projection support the lead, while fiscal stimulus like a 4% budget deficit and consumption-boosting measures temper downside risks from global tensions, positioning 5.0–6.0% as a viable 32.9% alternative.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi%4,0–%5,0 67%
%5,0–%6,0 32.8%
%3,0–%4,0 <1%
%2,0–%3,0 <1%
$296,124 Hac.
$296,124 Hac.
31 Oca 2026
%1,0'ın altında
<1%
%1,0–%2,0
1%
%2,0–%3,0
1%
%3,0–%4,0
1%
%4,0–%5,0
67%
%5,0–%6,0
33%
%6,0-%7,0
1%
%7,0–%8,0
<1%
%8,0–%9,0
1%
%9,0+
<1%
%4,0–%5,0 67%
%5,0–%6,0 32.8%
%3,0–%4,0 <1%
%2,0–%3,0 <1%
$296,124 Hac.
$296,124 Hac.
31 Oca 2026
%1,0'ın altında
$24,755 Hac.
<1%
%1,0–%2,0
$29,167 Hac.
1%
%2,0–%3,0
$9,634 Hac.
1%
%3,0–%4,0
$14,561 Hac.
1%
%4,0–%5,0
$58,903 Hac.
67%
%5,0–%6,0
$24,966 Hac.
33%
%6,0-%7,0
$22,066 Hac.
1%
%7,0–%8,0
$31,676 Hac.
<1%
%8,0–%9,0
$8,950 Hac.
1%
%9,0+
$71,446 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's National Bureau of Statistics reported 5.0% year-on-year GDP growth for Q1 2026 on April 16, exceeding forecasts and aligning with the upper end of Beijing's official 4.5–5.0% full-year target set during March Two Sessions—the lowest since the early 1990s—bolstering trader consensus for 4.0–5.0% at 66.5%. Resilient exports and 6.1% industrial output gains offset weak retail sales and ongoing property sector slump, with new home prices down 3.2% in February amid excess supply. IMF's April forecast of 4.4% and Goldman Sachs' 4.8% projection support the lead, while fiscal stimulus like a 4% budget deficit and consumption-boosting measures temper downside risks from global tensions, positioning 5.0–6.0% as a viable 32.9% alternative.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Hacim
$296,124Bitiş Tarihi
31 Oca 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's National Bureau of Statistics reported 5.0% year-on-year GDP growth for Q1 2026 on April 16, exceeding forecasts and aligning with the upper end of Beijing's official 4.5–5.0% full-year target set during March Two Sessions—the lowest since the early 1990s—bolstering trader consensus for 4.0–5.0% at 66.5%. Resilient exports and 6.1% industrial output gains offset weak retail sales and ongoing property sector slump, with new home prices down 3.2% in February amid excess supply. IMF's April forecast of 4.4% and Goldman Sachs' 4.8% projection support the lead, while fiscal stimulus like a 4% budget deficit and consumption-boosting measures temper downside risks from global tensions, positioning 5.0–6.0% as a viable 32.9% alternative.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$296,124Bitiş Tarihi
31 Oca 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China's National Bureau of Statistics reported 5.0% year-on-year GDP growth for Q1 2026 on April 16, exceeding forecasts and aligning with the upper end of Beijing's official 4.5–5.0% full-year target set during March Two Sessions—the lowest since the early 1990s—bolstering trader consensus for 4.0–5.0% at 66.5%. Resilient exports and 6.1% industrial output gains offset weak retail sales and ongoing property sector slump, with new home prices down 3.2% in February amid excess supply. IMF's April forecast of 4.4% and Goldman Sachs' 4.8% projection support the lead, while fiscal stimulus like a 4% budget deficit and consumption-boosting measures temper downside risks from global tensions, positioning 5.0–6.0% as a viable 32.9% alternative.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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