Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 61.5% implied probability to the Bank of Korea maintaining its base rate at 2.50% in July, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's unanimous decision to hold steady on April 10 amid persistent but moderate inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI rose 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below the 2.4% forecast—keeping headline inflation near the 2% target while core measures remain sticky, supporting a data-dependent neutral stance. A 28.5% chance of a hike stems from warnings of rising inflation and softening growth forecasts, though robust 2.0% GDP projections for 2026 temper cut odds at 13.5%. Traders eye May 28 policy meeting and April CPI data as key swing factors ahead of July.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
Değişiklik Yok 62%
Artış 28%
Düşürme 22%
$10,246 Hac.
$10,246 Hac.
Düşürme
14%
Değişiklik Yok
62%
Artış
28%
Değişiklik Yok 62%
Artış 28%
Düşürme 22%
$10,246 Hac.
$10,246 Hac.
Düşürme
14%
Değişiklik Yok
62%
Artış
28%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 61.5% implied probability to the Bank of Korea maintaining its base rate at 2.50% in July, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's unanimous decision to hold steady on April 10 amid persistent but moderate inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI rose 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below the 2.4% forecast—keeping headline inflation near the 2% target while core measures remain sticky, supporting a data-dependent neutral stance. A 28.5% chance of a hike stems from warnings of rising inflation and softening growth forecasts, though robust 2.0% GDP projections for 2026 temper cut odds at 13.5%. Traders eye May 28 policy meeting and April CPI data as key swing factors ahead of July.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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