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Siyaset·Kore Demokrat Partisi

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

Market icon
Siyaset·Kore Demokrat Partisi

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 95.9%

Progressive Party (PP) 5.0%

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) 4.0%

Reform Party (RP) 3.7%

Polymarket
YENİ

Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 95.9%

Progressive Party (PP) 5.0%

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) 4.0%

Reform Party (RP) 3.7%

Polymarket
YENİ
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections? icon

People Power Party (PPP)

$630 Hac.

<1%

Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections? icon

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$1,861 Hac.

96%

Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections? icon

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)

$0 Hac.

4%

Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections? icon

Progressive Party (PP)

$0 Hac.

5%

Will the Reform Party (RP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections? icon

Reform Party (RP)

$0 Hac.

4%

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission. Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in the June 3 National Assembly by-elections across at least 14 constituencies, reflecting consistent opinion poll leads from late March to early April showing DP candidates ahead by wide margins in strongholds like Incheon, Gwangju, and Jeonbuk. This commanding position stems from President Lee Jae-myung's honeymoon approval boost following his 2025 snap election victory, contrasted with the People Power Party's (PPP) lingering internal divisions after prior political crises, alongside many vacancies created by DP incumbents shifting to local races. Recent developments include finalized nominations and DP leaders rejecting delays in competitive Busan and Pyeongtaek districts. Though improbable, a DP plurality could be upended by upsets from Rebuilding Korea Party's Cho Kuk, independents like Han Dong-hoon, or fragmented vote splits in swing seats amid low turnout or scandals.

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.

This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.

Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.

If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Hacim
$2,491
Bitiş Tarihi
3 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission. Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission. Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in the June 3 National Assembly by-elections across at least 14 constituencies, reflecting consistent opinion poll leads from late March to early April showing DP candidates ahead by wide margins in strongholds like Incheon, Gwangju, and Jeonbuk. This commanding position stems from President Lee Jae-myung's honeymoon approval boost following his 2025 snap election victory, contrasted with the People Power Party's (PPP) lingering internal divisions after prior political crises, alongside many vacancies created by DP incumbents shifting to local races. Recent developments include finalized nominations and DP leaders rejecting delays in competitive Busan and Pyeongtaek districts. Though improbable, a DP plurality could be upended by upsets from Rebuilding Korea Party's Cho Kuk, independents like Han Dong-hoon, or fragmented vote splits in swing seats amid low turnout or scandals.

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.

This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.

Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.

If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Hacim
$2,491
Bitiş Tarihi
3 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission. Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 5 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 96% ile "Democratic Party of Korea (DP)", ardından 5% ile "Progressive Party (PP)" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 96¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 96% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Feb 12, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 5 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner" için mevcut favori 96% ile "Democratic Party of Korea (DP)"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 96% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 5% ile "Progressive Party (PP)"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.