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Dünya·Kanada

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Market icon
Dünya·Kanada

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Up

53% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ

Up

53% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Statistics Canada's March 18 release of fourth-quarter 2025 population estimates revealed Canada's first recorded annual decline, with the population falling 103,504 (-0.2%) to 41,472,081 by January 1, 2026, driven by a sharp drop in non-permanent residents amid federal immigration caps. The Parliamentary Budget Officer's February analysis projects flat overall growth for 2026 under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which limits permanent residents to 380,000 annually and new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000—down significantly from prior peaks. This policy shift, continued post-2025 federal election by the minority Liberal government, has fueled trader consensus favoring a year-end population drop from December 31, 2025 levels, though natural increase and potential policy tweaks introduce uncertainty ahead of year-end estimates.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$1,413
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2027
Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Statistics Canada's March 18 release of fourth-quarter 2025 population estimates revealed Canada's first recorded annual decline, with the population falling 103,504 (-0.2%) to 41,472,081 by January 1, 2026, driven by a sharp drop in non-permanent residents amid federal immigration caps. The Parliamentary Budget Officer's February analysis projects flat overall growth for 2026 under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which limits permanent residents to 380,000 annually and new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000—down significantly from prior peaks. This policy shift, continued post-2025 federal election by the minority Liberal government, has fueled trader consensus favoring a year-end population drop from December 31, 2025 levels, though natural increase and potential policy tweaks introduce uncertainty ahead of year-end estimates.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$1,413
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2027
Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?", Polymarket’te yatırımcıların Canada's population Up or Down this year? fiyatının başlıktaki günlük penceresi boyunca açılış fiyatının üstünde ("Yukarı") mi yoksa altında ("Aşağı") mı kapanacağına dair hisse alıp sattığı bir günlük tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut piyasa olasılığı "Down" için 57%’dır. 57%’lik bir fiyat, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 57% şans verdiği anlamına gelir. Yatırımcılar canlı Canada's population Up or Down this year? fiyat hareketlerine tepki verdikçe fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı güncellenir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler, piyasa çözümlendiğinde her biri 1$ karşılığında kullanılabilir.

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?", Polymarket’te aktif bir kısa vadeli piyasadır. günlük penceresi ilerledikçe işlem hacmi hızla birikebilir — bu pencere kapanmadan oranları belirlemeye yardımcı olmak için erken katılın.

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için Canada's population Up or Down this year? fiyatının April 29 tarihinde öğlen ET’de January 27 tarihindeki öğlen ET fiyatından daha yüksek ("Yukarı") mi yoksa daha düşük ("Aşağı") mü olacağına karar verin. Fiyatın günden güne yükseleceğini düşünüyorsanız "Yukarı", düşeceğini düşünüyorsanız "Aşağı" satın alın. Tutarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Seçtiğiniz sonuç çözümlemede doğruysa, her hisse 1,00$ öder. Yanlışsa hisseler 0$ değerinde olur.

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?" için mevcut olasılık "Down" için 57%’dır, yani Polymarket topluluğu şu anda Canada's population Up or Down this year? fiyatının bu günlük penceresi boyunca down kapanma olasılığını 57% olarak değerlendirmektedir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar canlı Canada's population Up or Down this year? fiyat verilerine tepki verdikçe gerçek zamanlı güncellenir. Tam bir gün boyunca, günün fiyat hareketi açıldıkça oranlar değişen duyarlılığı yansıtır. Sık sık kontrol edin veya pencere kapanmadan şimdi işlem yapın.

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?" piyasası, Binance CANADAS-POPULATION/USDT 1 dakikalık mum kapanış fiyatları kullanılarak Canada's population Up or Down this year? fiyatının April 29 tarihinde öğlen ET’de ve January 27 tarihinde öğlen ET’deki fiyatının karşılaştırılmasına göre çözümlenir. April 29 öğlen fiyatı daha yüksekse sonuç "Yukarı"; daha düşükse "Aşağı"; eşitse piyasa 50-50 çözümlenir. Tam çözümleme kriterlerini ve veri kaynağını bu sayfadaki "Kurallar" bölümünden inceleyebilirsiniz.