Iván Cepeda Castro's trader consensus at 93.5% for Colombia's presidential first-round winner on May 31 reflects his sustained dominance in recent polls, including the April 6-9 AtlasIntel survey showing him at 37.8-39% amid a fragmented field where Abelardo de la Espriella trails at 27-28% and Paloma Valencia at 22-24%. This positioning stems from the Historic Pact's strong March 8 legislative performance bolstering leftist momentum, while right-wing votes split between de la Espriella and Valencia prevent consolidation. No major developments in the past week have shifted dynamics, but scenarios like a unified conservative endorsement, a Cepeda scandal, or surging undecided turnout could challenge his lead before ballots close.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiKolombiya Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimleri 1. tur kazananı?
Kolombiya Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimleri 1. tur kazananı?
Iván Cepeda Castro 94%
Abelardo de la Espriella 3.1%
Paloma Valencia 1.4%
Claudia López <1%
$2,650,040 Hac.
$2,650,040 Hac.
31 May 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
94%
Abelardo de la Espriella
3%
Paloma Valencia
1%
Claudia López
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Iván Cepeda Castro 94%
Abelardo de la Espriella 3.1%
Paloma Valencia 1.4%
Claudia López <1%
$2,650,040 Hac.
$2,650,040 Hac.
31 May 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
$146,806 Hac.
94%
Abelardo de la Espriella
$542,725 Hac.
3%
Paloma Valencia
$282,391 Hac.
1%
Claudia López
$103,957 Hac.
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
$87,200 Hac.
<1%
Roy Barreras
$119,719 Hac.
<1%
Daniel Quintero
$65,959 Hac.
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
$67,441 Hac.
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
$65,075 Hac.
<1%
Vicky Dávila
$282,635 Hac.
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
$133,871 Hac.
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
$198,138 Hac.
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
$87,837 Hac.
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
$122,593 Hac.
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
$104,676 Hac.
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
$124,050 Hac.
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
$78,469 Hac.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda Castro's trader consensus at 93.5% for Colombia's presidential first-round winner on May 31 reflects his sustained dominance in recent polls, including the April 6-9 AtlasIntel survey showing him at 37.8-39% amid a fragmented field where Abelardo de la Espriella trails at 27-28% and Paloma Valencia at 22-24%. This positioning stems from the Historic Pact's strong March 8 legislative performance bolstering leftist momentum, while right-wing votes split between de la Espriella and Valencia prevent consolidation. No major developments in the past week have shifted dynamics, but scenarios like a unified conservative endorsement, a Cepeda scandal, or surging undecided turnout could challenge his lead before ballots close.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET
Hacim
$2,650,040Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda Castro's trader consensus at 93.5% for Colombia's presidential first-round winner on May 31 reflects his sustained dominance in recent polls, including the April 6-9 AtlasIntel survey showing him at 37.8-39% amid a fragmented field where Abelardo de la Espriella trails at 27-28% and Paloma Valencia at 22-24%. This positioning stems from the Historic Pact's strong March 8 legislative performance bolstering leftist momentum, while right-wing votes split between de la Espriella and Valencia prevent consolidation. No major developments in the past week have shifted dynamics, but scenarios like a unified conservative endorsement, a Cepeda scandal, or surging undecided turnout could challenge his lead before ballots close.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Hacim
$2,650,040Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iván Cepeda Castro's trader consensus at 93.5% for Colombia's presidential first-round winner on May 31 reflects his sustained dominance in recent polls, including the April 6-9 AtlasIntel survey showing him at 37.8-39% amid a fragmented field where Abelardo de la Espriella trails at 27-28% and Paloma Valencia at 22-24%. This positioning stems from the Historic Pact's strong March 8 legislative performance bolstering leftist momentum, while right-wing votes split between de la Espriella and Valencia prevent consolidation. No major developments in the past week have shifted dynamics, but scenarios like a unified conservative endorsement, a Cepeda scandal, or surging undecided turnout could challenge his lead before ballots close.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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