Skip to main content
icon for TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner

Colin Allred 77%

Julie Johnson 18%

Carlos Quintanilla <1%

Zeeshan Hafeez <1%

Polymarket

$72,560 Vol.

Colin Allred 77%

Julie Johnson 18%

Carlos Quintanilla <1%

Zeeshan Hafeez <1%

Polymarket

$72,560 Vol.

Colin Allred

$32,761 Vol.

77%

Julie Johnson

$30,703 Vol.

18%

Carlos Quintanilla

$4,013 Vol.

<1%

Zeeshan Hafeez

$5,083 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 78% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson at 20.5%, reflecting Allred's 11-point plurality win in the March 3 primary amid a crowded field where challengers Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez posted negligible shares. Allred's advantages include superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson's $2.1 million), key endorsements from the Texas AFL-CIO (April 30) and Texas AFT, plus Quintanilla's post-primary backing, bolstering his appeal in the redrawn, heavily Democratic Dallas-area district (Harris +33 in 2024). Johnson holds leadership support like House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, but turnout dynamics and Allred's prior TX-32 tenure sustain his frontrunner status ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$72,560
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 78% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson at 20.5%, reflecting Allred's 11-point plurality win in the March 3 primary amid a crowded field where challengers Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez posted negligible shares. Allred's advantages include superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson's $2.1 million), key endorsements from the Texas AFL-CIO (April 30) and Texas AFT, plus Quintanilla's post-primary backing, bolstering his appeal in the redrawn, heavily Democratic Dallas-area district (Harris +33 in 2024). Johnson holds leadership support like House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, but turnout dynamics and Allred's prior TX-32 tenure sustain his frontrunner status ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$72,560
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Colin Allred" sa 77%, sinusundan ng "Julie Johnson" sa 18%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 77¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 77% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $72.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 4, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Colin Allred" sa 77%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 77% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Julie Johnson" sa 18%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.