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Politika·Wisconsin Primary

WI-07 Republican Primary Winner

icon for WI-07 Republican Primary Winner
Politika·Wisconsin Primary

WI-07 Republican Primary Winner

Michael Alfonso 100.0%

Don Raihala <1%

Jessi Ebben <1%

Kevin Hermening <1%

Polymarket

$26,383 Vol.

Michael Alfonso 100.0%

Don Raihala <1%

Jessi Ebben <1%

Kevin Hermening <1%

Polymarket

$26,383 Vol.

icon for Don Raihala

Don Raihala

$1,043 Vol.

No

icon for Michael Alfonso

Michael Alfonso

$14,430 Vol.

Yes

icon for Jessi Ebben

Jessi Ebben

$2,983 Vol.

No

icon for Kevin Hermening

Kevin Hermening

$6,628 Vol.

No

icon for Niina Baum

Niina Baum

$1,299 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Michael Alfonso secured overwhelming trader consensus in the WI-07 Republican primary through high-profile endorsements from President Trump and former district Representative Sean Duffy, whose family connection amplified visibility and grassroots support in the solidly Republican northern Wisconsin district. Alfonso's campaign demonstrated superior fundraising exceeding $1.2 million and consistent polling leads, positioning him as the clear frontrunner among competitors including Jessi Ebben, Kevin Hermening, Niina Baum, and Don Raihala ahead of the August 11 vote. The open seat created by Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid further concentrated attention on established America First messaging and organizational advantages. Late developments such as unexpected legal challenges or turnout anomalies could theoretically shift outcomes, though primary results have now aligned with the market's implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$26,383
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Michael Alfonso secured overwhelming trader consensus in the WI-07 Republican primary through high-profile endorsements from President Trump and former district Representative Sean Duffy, whose family connection amplified visibility and grassroots support in the solidly Republican northern Wisconsin district. Alfonso's campaign demonstrated superior fundraising exceeding $1.2 million and consistent polling leads, positioning him as the clear frontrunner among competitors including Jessi Ebben, Kevin Hermening, Niina Baum, and Don Raihala ahead of the August 11 vote. The open seat created by Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid further concentrated attention on established America First messaging and organizational advantages. Late developments such as unexpected legal challenges or turnout anomalies could theoretically shift outcomes, though primary results have now aligned with the market's implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$26,383
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

Kaugnay

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "WI-07 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Michael Alfonso" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Don Raihala" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "WI-07 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $26.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 20, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "WI-07 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "WI-07 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Michael Alfonso" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Don Raihala" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "WI-07 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.