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Politika·Michigan Primary

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Michigan Primary

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bridget Brink 51%

William Lawrence 44%

Matt Maasdam 5.1%

Alexandra Prieditis 4.5%

Polymarket
BAGO

Bridget Brink 51%

William Lawrence 44%

Matt Maasdam 5.1%

Alexandra Prieditis 4.5%

Polymarket
BAGO

Bridget Brink

$1,332 Vol.

51%

William Lawrence

$4,956 Vol.

44%

Matt Maasdam

$655 Vol.

5%

Alexandra Prieditis

$698 Vol.

4%

Elyon Badger

$631 Vol.

3%

Josh Cowen

$844 Vol.

2%

Muhammad Salman Rais

$602 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in Michigan's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary reflects a tight contest between former Ambassador Bridget Brink at 51% and organizer William Lawrence at 44%, driven by recent progressive endorsements for Lawrence from Reps. Rashida Tlaib and Ro Khanna within the past two days, alongside Sunrise Movement backing. Late April polls, including Data for Progress showing Lawrence at 20% over Brink's 14%, underscore his momentum among likely voters, yet Brink's diplomatic experience and establishment ties maintain her edge amid attacks from the NRCC portraying intra-party disarray. Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam trails at 5.4% despite strong Q1 fundraising exceeding $700,000. With the August 4 primary approaching, Q2 finance reports, debates, and further endorsements could tip the balance in this fragmented field targeting GOP incumbent Tom Barrett.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,718
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in Michigan's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary reflects a tight contest between former Ambassador Bridget Brink at 51% and organizer William Lawrence at 44%, driven by recent progressive endorsements for Lawrence from Reps. Rashida Tlaib and Ro Khanna within the past two days, alongside Sunrise Movement backing. Late April polls, including Data for Progress showing Lawrence at 20% over Brink's 14%, underscore his momentum among likely voters, yet Brink's diplomatic experience and establishment ties maintain her edge amid attacks from the NRCC portraying intra-party disarray. Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam trails at 5.4% despite strong Q1 fundraising exceeding $700,000. With the August 4 primary approaching, Q2 finance reports, debates, and further endorsements could tip the balance in this fragmented field targeting GOP incumbent Tom Barrett.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,718
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Bridget Brink" sa 51%, sinusundan ng "William Lawrence" sa 44%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 51¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 51% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Apr 23, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Bridget Brink" sa 51%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 51% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "William Lawrence" sa 44%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.