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Politika·Michigan Primary

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Michigan Primary

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bridget Brink 80%

William Lawrence 16%

Matt Maasdam 2.2%

Muhammad Salman Rais 1.9%

Polymarket

$16,252 Vol.

Bridget Brink 80%

William Lawrence 16%

Matt Maasdam 2.2%

Muhammad Salman Rais 1.9%

Polymarket

$16,252 Vol.

Bridget Brink

$5,024 Vol.

80%

William Lawrence

$7,296 Vol.

16%

Matt Maasdam

$879 Vol.

2%

Muhammad Salman Rais

$661 Vol.

2%

Josh Cowen

$894 Vol.

2%

Elyon Badger

$687 Vol.

2%

Alexandra Prieditis

$811 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bridget Brink holds an 80% implied probability in the Michigan 7th District Democratic primary as the clear frontrunner, driven by her profile as a Michigan native and former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine with extensive foreign service experience. Establishment support has solidified her position, including endorsements from the Michigan Education Association, former state House Speaker Joe Tate, state Sen. Sam Singh, and multiple state representatives, positioning her as the candidate with the strongest path to victory in the competitive general election against Republican incumbent Tom Barrett. William Lawrence trails at 15.5% amid backing from progressive figures such as Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and Rep. Ro Khanna, though he lacks comparable institutional or union support. Matt Maasdam and the remaining lower-polling candidates trail further, with the August 4 primary date leaving limited time for major shifts in the current consensus reflected by trader pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,252
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bridget Brink holds an 80% implied probability in the Michigan 7th District Democratic primary as the clear frontrunner, driven by her profile as a Michigan native and former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine with extensive foreign service experience. Establishment support has solidified her position, including endorsements from the Michigan Education Association, former state House Speaker Joe Tate, state Sen. Sam Singh, and multiple state representatives, positioning her as the candidate with the strongest path to victory in the competitive general election against Republican incumbent Tom Barrett. William Lawrence trails at 15.5% amid backing from progressive figures such as Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and Rep. Ro Khanna, though he lacks comparable institutional or union support. Matt Maasdam and the remaining lower-polling candidates trail further, with the August 4 primary date leaving limited time for major shifts in the current consensus reflected by trader pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,252
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Bridget Brink" sa 80%, sinusundan ng "William Lawrence" sa 16%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 80¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $16.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 23, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Bridget Brink" sa 80%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "William Lawrence" sa 16%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.