Skip to main content
profile pic

Erasmus.

Sumali Jul 2024·159 mga view

Prediction markets are the future, if there is one. Erasmusxyz on discord, send me your trade ideas or pictures of your cat.

$1.4M

Halaga ng mga Posisyon

$230.0K

Pinakamalaking Panalo

709

Mga Prediksiyon

Kita/Lugi

-$31,552.05
Polymarket

Nakaraang Araw

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
Market icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 86.5¢
694,449.2 mga shares
$687,157.45$86,786.01 (14.46%)
Market icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 85.3¢
248,990.0 mga shares
$227,825.88$15,416.22 (7.26%)
Market icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 68¢
176,477.6 mga shares
$142,064.47$21,986.11 (18.31%)
Market icon

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 68.3¢
172,693.9 mga shares
$114,841.47-$3,044.08 (-2.58%)
Market icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 94¢
49,972.9 mga shares
$48,248.79$1,274.31 (2.71%)
Market icon

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 87.3¢
47,143.1 mga shares
$44,762.37$3,627.99 (8.82%)
Market icon

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 86.6¢
29,609.1 mga shares
$24,057.43-$1,574.70 (-6.14%)
Market icon

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Yes 87.2¢
23,655.6 mga shares
$23,643.74$3,010.01 (14.59%)
Market icon

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Yes 70.7¢
18,524.2 mga shares
$12,596.43-$492.85 (-3.77%)
Market icon

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 34.3¢
47,198.4 mga shares
$10,147.66-$6,042.10 (-37.32%)
Market icon

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 16¢
10,670.9 mga shares
$6,455.88$4,748.54 (278.12%)
Market icon

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 46.6¢
10,231.9 mga shares
$4,041.59-$729.74 (-15.29%)
Market icon

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

No 75.5¢
2,564.1 mga shares
$2,489.72$553.92 (28.61%)
Market icon

Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?

No 88¢
2,277.3 mga shares
$2,152.01$148.02 (7.39%)
Market icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9¢
20,102.8 mga shares
$1,507.71-$301.54 (-16.67%)
Market icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 27¢
4,094.4 mga shares
$1,207.85$102.36 (9.26%)
Market icon

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 91¢
1,160.7 mga shares
$1,073.68$17.71 (1.68%)
Market icon

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

No 65.1¢
738.6 mga shares
$716.47$235.71 (49.03%)
Market icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes 1.6¢
39,302.8 mga shares
$334.07-$294.77 (-46.87%)
Market icon

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 7.8¢
2,501.9 mga shares
$300.22$104.16 (53.13%)
Market icon

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 65.1¢
161.9 mga shares
$90.68-$14.83 (-14.06%)
Market icon

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 67.6¢
1.0 mga shares
$0.66-$0.00 (-0.15%)
Market icon

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 53.3¢
0.6 mga shares
$0.36$0.04 (11.59%)
Market icon

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Yes 82.6¢
0.5 mga shares
$0.20-$0.20 (-49.74%)
Market icon

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

No 42¢
10,000.0 mga shares
$0.00-$4,200.00 (-100%)
Market icon

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Yes 1.2¢
43,504.3 mga shares
$0.00-$516.05 (-100%)
Market icon

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Yes 40.3¢
1,626.0 mga shares
$0.00-$655.61 (-100%)
Market icon

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Yes 12¢
5,217.5 mga shares
$0.00-$626.10 (-100%)
Market icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

No 60¢
1,650.2 mga shares
$0.00-$990.13 (-100%)
Market icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 11.6¢
100,000.0 mga shares
$0.00-$11,559.40 (-100%)