Trader consensus reflects low expectations for Ukrainian military action against Moscow, anchored by repeated Russian air defense interceptions of drones approaching the capital's ring road in mid-April, including at least 11 incursions on April 12 that crossed over 113 defense positions without breakthroughs. Ukraine has escalated long-range drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and Crimea targets like Sevastopol and Feodosia oil depots in recent weeks, but avoided direct capital hits amid robust Moscow fortifications. Russia responded with massive overnight barrages, launching over 600 drones and dozens of missiles on Dnipro and other cities on April 25-26, killing at least seven and wounding dozens, signaling intensified escalation without diplomatic de-escalation. The April 30 market window nears amid ongoing attrition warfare.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUkraine military action against Moscow by...?
Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?
$166,611 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
April 30
4%
$166,611 ปริมาณ
April 30
$17,198 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Trader consensus reflects low expectations for Ukrainian military action against Moscow, anchored by repeated Russian air defense interceptions of drones approaching the capital's ring road in mid-April, including at least 11 incursions on April 12 that crossed over 113 defense positions without breakthroughs. Ukraine has escalated long-range drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and Crimea targets like Sevastopol and Feodosia oil depots in recent weeks, but avoided direct capital hits amid robust Moscow fortifications. Russia responded with massive overnight barrages, launching over 600 drones and dozens of missiles on Dnipro and other cities on April 25-26, killing at least seven and wounding dozens, signaling intensified escalation without diplomatic de-escalation. The April 30 market window nears amid ongoing attrition warfare.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$166,611วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Trader consensus reflects low expectations for Ukrainian military action against Moscow, anchored by repeated Russian air defense interceptions of drones approaching the capital's ring road in mid-April, including at least 11 incursions on April 12 that crossed over 113 defense positions without breakthroughs. Ukraine has escalated long-range drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and Crimea targets like Sevastopol and Feodosia oil depots in recent weeks, but avoided direct capital hits amid robust Moscow fortifications. Russia responded with massive overnight barrages, launching over 600 drones and dozens of missiles on Dnipro and other cities on April 25-26, killing at least seven and wounding dozens, signaling intensified escalation without diplomatic de-escalation. The April 30 market window nears amid ongoing attrition warfare.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$166,611วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects low expectations for Ukrainian military action against Moscow, anchored by repeated Russian air defense interceptions of drones approaching the capital's ring road in mid-April, including at least 11 incursions on April 12 that crossed over 113 defense positions without breakthroughs. Ukraine has escalated long-range drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and Crimea targets like Sevastopol and Feodosia oil depots in recent weeks, but avoided direct capital hits amid robust Moscow fortifications. Russia responded with massive overnight barrages, launching over 600 drones and dozens of missiles on Dnipro and other cities on April 25-26, killing at least seven and wounding dozens, signaling intensified escalation without diplomatic de-escalation. The April 30 market window nears amid ongoing attrition warfare.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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