Trader consensus favors President Trump signing an executive order today at 36% implied probability, driven by reports of a scheduled signing ceremony and policy meeting amid the eighth week of U.S.-Iran hostilities over the Strait of Hormuz closure, where Trump's recent Truth Social posts have complicated peace negotiations and spiked oil prices. Overnight posts criticizing Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and rallying supporters set a combative tone but do not trigger verbal outcomes like saying "bigly," which trades at 2%. Yesterday's health care affordability event with Regeneron drug pricing announcements had no public quirks qualifying for dancing (4%), yellow tie (4%), or UK PM Keir Starmer talks (4%). Private intelligence briefings and an Institute of Peace dinner limit observable actions, heightening uncertainty until midnight ET.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$4,979 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
Trump dances
4%
Trump signs an executive order
36%
Trump wears a yellow tie
4%
Trump says "Bigly"
2%
Trump talks to Keir Starmer
4%
$4,979 ปริมาณ
Trump dances
$476 ปริมาณ
4%
Trump signs an executive order
$235 ปริมาณ
36%
Trump wears a yellow tie
$311 ปริมาณ
4%
Trump says "Bigly"
$3,758 ปริมาณ
2%
Trump talks to Keir Starmer
$208 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a yellow tie at any point on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg
The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg
If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors President Trump signing an executive order today at 36% implied probability, driven by reports of a scheduled signing ceremony and policy meeting amid the eighth week of U.S.-Iran hostilities over the Strait of Hormuz closure, where Trump's recent Truth Social posts have complicated peace negotiations and spiked oil prices. Overnight posts criticizing Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and rallying supporters set a combative tone but do not trigger verbal outcomes like saying "bigly," which trades at 2%. Yesterday's health care affordability event with Regeneron drug pricing announcements had no public quirks qualifying for dancing (4%), yellow tie (4%), or UK PM Keir Starmer talks (4%). Private intelligence briefings and an Institute of Peace dinner limit observable actions, heightening uncertainty until midnight ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 23, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,979วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a yellow tie at any point on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg
The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg
If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors President Trump signing an executive order today at 36% implied probability, driven by reports of a scheduled signing ceremony and policy meeting amid the eighth week of U.S.-Iran hostilities over the Strait of Hormuz closure, where Trump's recent Truth Social posts have complicated peace negotiations and spiked oil prices. Overnight posts criticizing Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and rallying supporters set a combative tone but do not trigger verbal outcomes like saying "bigly," which trades at 2%. Yesterday's health care affordability event with Regeneron drug pricing announcements had no public quirks qualifying for dancing (4%), yellow tie (4%), or UK PM Keir Starmer talks (4%). Private intelligence briefings and an Institute of Peace dinner limit observable actions, heightening uncertainty until midnight ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,979วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors President Trump signing an executive order today at 36% implied probability, driven by reports of a scheduled signing ceremony and policy meeting amid the eighth week of U.S.-Iran hostilities over the Strait of Hormuz closure, where Trump's recent Truth Social posts have complicated peace negotiations and spiked oil prices. Overnight posts criticizing Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and rallying supporters set a combative tone but do not trigger verbal outcomes like saying "bigly," which trades at 2%. Yesterday's health care affordability event with Regeneron drug pricing announcements had no public quirks qualifying for dancing (4%), yellow tie (4%), or UK PM Keir Starmer talks (4%). Private intelligence briefings and an Institute of Peace dinner limit observable actions, heightening uncertainty until midnight ET.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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