The closely contested Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented field with the Parti Québécois leading seat projections but facing a split federalist vote, which traders see as likely sustaining moderate engagement near historical benchmarks around 66 percent. Recent polling stability, expanded advance voting options from September 27, and roughly 325,000 new eligible voters could support turnout in the 66-70 percent range, while regional three-way races and sovereignty debates provide localized mobilization incentives without broad surges. Weather on polling day, youth participation patterns, and late campaign intensity remain key variables that could shift probabilities toward higher or lower brackets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว66-70% 35%
70-74% 22%
62-66% 20%
<58% 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
9%
58-62%
9%
62-66%
20%
66-70%
35%
70-74%
22%
74%+
8%
66-70% 35%
70-74% 22%
62-66% 20%
<58% 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
$374 ปริมาณ
9%
58-62%
$100 ปริมาณ
9%
62-66%
$103 ปริมาณ
20%
66-70%
$191 ปริมาณ
35%
70-74%
$142 ปริมาณ
22%
74%+
$233 ปริมาณ
8%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented field with the Parti Québécois leading seat projections but facing a split federalist vote, which traders see as likely sustaining moderate engagement near historical benchmarks around 66 percent. Recent polling stability, expanded advance voting options from September 27, and roughly 325,000 new eligible voters could support turnout in the 66-70 percent range, while regional three-way races and sovereignty debates provide localized mobilization incentives without broad surges. Weather on polling day, youth participation patterns, and late campaign intensity remain key variables that could shift probabilities toward higher or lower brackets.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,143วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented field with the Parti Québécois leading seat projections but facing a split federalist vote, which traders see as likely sustaining moderate engagement near historical benchmarks around 66 percent. Recent polling stability, expanded advance voting options from September 27, and roughly 325,000 new eligible voters could support turnout in the 66-70 percent range, while regional three-way races and sovereignty debates provide localized mobilization incentives without broad surges. Weather on polling day, youth participation patterns, and late campaign intensity remain key variables that could shift probabilities toward higher or lower brackets.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,143วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented field with the Parti Québécois leading seat projections but facing a split federalist vote, which traders see as likely sustaining moderate engagement near historical benchmarks around 66 percent. Recent polling stability, expanded advance voting options from September 27, and roughly 325,000 new eligible voters could support turnout in the 66-70 percent range, while regional three-way races and sovereignty debates provide localized mobilization incentives without broad surges. Weather on polling day, youth participation patterns, and late campaign intensity remain key variables that could shift probabilities toward higher or lower brackets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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