Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No IPO before 2028" at 45.5% implied probability, driven by Perplexity AI CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out public listing until at least then, with no S-1 filing or contradictory updates since amid a tepid IPO market for AI startups. Recent explosive growth—surpassing $450 million ARR in April 2026 via launches like the "Computer" agent and Comet browser—has propelled private valuation to $20–22.6 billion, fueling secondary outcomes like 50B–75B (16%) as the next tier, reflecting optimism for scaled enterprise adoption and agentic AI capabilities outpacing search monetization. Absent regulatory shifts or market thaw, traders eye 2028+ for liquidity events.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo IPO before 2028 36%
50B–75B 14.3%
75B–100B 10.1%
<20B 6.6%
$139,792 ปริมาณ
$139,792 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<20B
7%
20B–30B
4%
30B–40B
6%
40B–50B
16%
50B–75B
14%
75B–100B
10%
100B+
6%
No IPO before 2028
44%
No IPO before 2028 36%
50B–75B 14.3%
75B–100B 10.1%
<20B 6.6%
$139,792 ปริมาณ
$139,792 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<20B
$4,454 ปริมาณ
7%
20B–30B
$5,889 ปริมาณ
4%
30B–40B
$4,370 ปริมาณ
6%
40B–50B
$4,192 ปริมาณ
16%
50B–75B
$6,236 ปริมาณ
14%
75B–100B
$3,386 ปริมาณ
10%
100B+
$4,828 ปริมาณ
6%
No IPO before 2028
$106,438 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No IPO before 2028" at 45.5% implied probability, driven by Perplexity AI CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out public listing until at least then, with no S-1 filing or contradictory updates since amid a tepid IPO market for AI startups. Recent explosive growth—surpassing $450 million ARR in April 2026 via launches like the "Computer" agent and Comet browser—has propelled private valuation to $20–22.6 billion, fueling secondary outcomes like 50B–75B (16%) as the next tier, reflecting optimism for scaled enterprise adoption and agentic AI capabilities outpacing search monetization. Absent regulatory shifts or market thaw, traders eye 2028+ for liquidity events.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$139,792วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No IPO before 2028" at 45.5% implied probability, driven by Perplexity AI CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out public listing until at least then, with no S-1 filing or contradictory updates since amid a tepid IPO market for AI startups. Recent explosive growth—surpassing $450 million ARR in April 2026 via launches like the "Computer" agent and Comet browser—has propelled private valuation to $20–22.6 billion, fueling secondary outcomes like 50B–75B (16%) as the next tier, reflecting optimism for scaled enterprise adoption and agentic AI capabilities outpacing search monetization. Absent regulatory shifts or market thaw, traders eye 2028+ for liquidity events.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$139,792วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No IPO before 2028" at 45.5% implied probability, driven by Perplexity AI CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out public listing until at least then, with no S-1 filing or contradictory updates since amid a tepid IPO market for AI startups. Recent explosive growth—surpassing $450 million ARR in April 2026 via launches like the "Computer" agent and Comet browser—has propelled private valuation to $20–22.6 billion, fueling secondary outcomes like 50B–75B (16%) as the next tier, reflecting optimism for scaled enterprise adoption and agentic AI capabilities outpacing search monetization. Absent regulatory shifts or market thaw, traders eye 2028+ for liquidity events.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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