Traders see a tight race for third place on Text Arena's math category at month-end, with OpenAI and Google holding the clearest edges at 44% and 40.5% implied probability amid several tied alternatives near 50%. Anthropic's Claude Opus and Fable variants currently top the math Elo standings through superior performance on complex reasoning prompts and competition-style problems. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.6 lines remain competitive via strong benchmark results on AIME and FrontierMath, while Google's Gemini 3 series offers balanced math capability alongside broad platform integration. Chinese labs such as Z.ai and Moonshot show elevated overall arena scores but trail in the dedicated math voting, reflecting differences in specialized reasoning depth versus general text generation. The final ranking hinges on any late-September model updates or shifts in crowd-sourced evaluations before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOpenAI 44.0%
Google 41%
Z.ai 6.3%
Alibaba 5%
$49,292 ปริมาณ
$49,292 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
44%
41%
Z.ai
6%
Alibaba
5%
Moonshot
3%
Baidu
2%
SpaceXAI
2%
Anthropic
1%
Meta
1%
Microsoft
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
StepFun
<1%
OpenAI 44.0%
Google 41%
Z.ai 6.3%
Alibaba 5%
$49,292 ปริมาณ
$49,292 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
$8,262 ปริมาณ
44%
$6,602 ปริมาณ
41%
Z.ai
$3,049 ปริมาณ
6%
Alibaba
$11,903 ปริมาณ
5%
Moonshot
$2,080 ปริมาณ
3%
Baidu
$2,084 ปริมาณ
2%
SpaceXAI
$1,389 ปริมาณ
2%
Anthropic
$2,117 ปริมาณ
1%
Meta
$1,208 ปริมาณ
1%
Microsoft
$980 ปริมาณ
1%
Xiaomi
$1,036 ปริมาณ
1%
Meituan
$756 ปริมาณ
1%
MiniMax
$1,897 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$1,074 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$1,000 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$743 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$923 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$575 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bytedance
$916 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$698 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tight race for third place on Text Arena's math category at month-end, with OpenAI and Google holding the clearest edges at 44% and 40.5% implied probability amid several tied alternatives near 50%. Anthropic's Claude Opus and Fable variants currently top the math Elo standings through superior performance on complex reasoning prompts and competition-style problems. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.6 lines remain competitive via strong benchmark results on AIME and FrontierMath, while Google's Gemini 3 series offers balanced math capability alongside broad platform integration. Chinese labs such as Z.ai and Moonshot show elevated overall arena scores but trail in the dedicated math voting, reflecting differences in specialized reasoning depth versus general text generation. The final ranking hinges on any late-September model updates or shifts in crowd-sourced evaluations before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,292วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tight race for third place on Text Arena's math category at month-end, with OpenAI and Google holding the clearest edges at 44% and 40.5% implied probability amid several tied alternatives near 50%. Anthropic's Claude Opus and Fable variants currently top the math Elo standings through superior performance on complex reasoning prompts and competition-style problems. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.6 lines remain competitive via strong benchmark results on AIME and FrontierMath, while Google's Gemini 3 series offers balanced math capability alongside broad platform integration. Chinese labs such as Z.ai and Moonshot show elevated overall arena scores but trail in the dedicated math voting, reflecting differences in specialized reasoning depth versus general text generation. The final ranking hinges on any late-September model updates or shifts in crowd-sourced evaluations before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,292วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tight race for third place on Text Arena's math category at month-end, with OpenAI and Google holding the clearest edges at 44% and 40.5% implied probability amid several tied alternatives near 50%. Anthropic's Claude Opus and Fable variants currently top the math Elo standings through superior performance on complex reasoning prompts and competition-style problems. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.6 lines remain competitive via strong benchmark results on AIME and FrontierMath, while Google's Gemini 3 series offers balanced math capability alongside broad platform integration. Chinese labs such as Z.ai and Moonshot show elevated overall arena scores but trail in the dedicated math voting, reflecting differences in specialized reasoning depth versus general text generation. The final ranking hinges on any late-September model updates or shifts in crowd-sourced evaluations before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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