Traders see a tight race for the number-two AI lab by end of September under style control metrics, with OpenAI at 27.5 percent, Meta at 26.5 percent, and Anthropic at 24.3 percent leading a crowded field while Google sits at 10.5 percent. This near-even distribution reflects recent model releases and capability benchmarks that have kept the top labs within striking distance on key performance indicators. Competitive dynamics hinge on factors like large language model training scale, demonstrated style adherence in outputs, and rapid iteration cycles, with smaller players such as Moonshot and Z.ai holding single-digit implied odds due to narrower adoption or less consistent benchmark results. Upcoming developer updates or new capability demonstrations in the next few weeks could shift sentiment before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMeta 32%
OpenAI 28%
Anthropic 24.3%
Google 10%
$56,379 ปริมาณ
$56,379 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Meta
32%
OpenAI
28%
Anthropic
24%
10%
Moonshot
5%
Z.ai
4%
SpaceXAI
1%
Alibaba
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meta 32%
OpenAI 28%
Anthropic 24.3%
Google 10%
$56,379 ปริมาณ
$56,379 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Meta
$17,239 ปริมาณ
32%
OpenAI
$9,343 ปริมาณ
28%
Anthropic
$1,912 ปริมาณ
24%
$8,241 ปริมาณ
10%
Moonshot
$1,276 ปริมาณ
5%
Z.ai
$1,152 ปริมาณ
4%
SpaceXAI
$947 ปริมาณ
1%
Alibaba
$4,550 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$1,228 ปริมาณ
1%
Meituan
$1,051 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$996 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$968 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$1,534 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$771 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$1,017 ปริมาณ
<1%
Thinky
$645 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$460 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$820 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$665 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$733 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$831 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tight race for the number-two AI lab by end of September under style control metrics, with OpenAI at 27.5 percent, Meta at 26.5 percent, and Anthropic at 24.3 percent leading a crowded field while Google sits at 10.5 percent. This near-even distribution reflects recent model releases and capability benchmarks that have kept the top labs within striking distance on key performance indicators. Competitive dynamics hinge on factors like large language model training scale, demonstrated style adherence in outputs, and rapid iteration cycles, with smaller players such as Moonshot and Z.ai holding single-digit implied odds due to narrower adoption or less consistent benchmark results. Upcoming developer updates or new capability demonstrations in the next few weeks could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,379วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tight race for the number-two AI lab by end of September under style control metrics, with OpenAI at 27.5 percent, Meta at 26.5 percent, and Anthropic at 24.3 percent leading a crowded field while Google sits at 10.5 percent. This near-even distribution reflects recent model releases and capability benchmarks that have kept the top labs within striking distance on key performance indicators. Competitive dynamics hinge on factors like large language model training scale, demonstrated style adherence in outputs, and rapid iteration cycles, with smaller players such as Moonshot and Z.ai holding single-digit implied odds due to narrower adoption or less consistent benchmark results. Upcoming developer updates or new capability demonstrations in the next few weeks could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,379วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tight race for the number-two AI lab by end of September under style control metrics, with OpenAI at 27.5 percent, Meta at 26.5 percent, and Anthropic at 24.3 percent leading a crowded field while Google sits at 10.5 percent. This near-even distribution reflects recent model releases and capability benchmarks that have kept the top labs within striking distance on key performance indicators. Competitive dynamics hinge on factors like large language model training scale, demonstrated style adherence in outputs, and rapid iteration cycles, with smaller players such as Moonshot and Z.ai holding single-digit implied odds due to narrower adoption or less consistent benchmark results. Upcoming developer updates or new capability demonstrations in the next few weeks could shift sentiment before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย