Republican incumbent Mike Lawler holds New York's 17th congressional district, a Hudson Valley seat rated toss-up by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democratic primary contenders including Beth Davidson, Cait Conley, and Effie Phillips-Staley are competing on June 23, with recent polls showing Davidson and Conley leading in endorsements and fundraising. The district's narrow 2024 margin, combined with Democrats targeting it as a prime pickup opportunity amid the national House landscape, supports the 64% Democratic trader consensus. Republicans retain a competitive position through Lawler's incumbency and primary advantage, though the 37.5% price reflects structural challenges in this battleground area.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-17 House Election Winner
NY-17 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$264 ปริมาณ
62%
Republican Party
$47 ปริมาณ
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Lawler holds New York's 17th congressional district, a Hudson Valley seat rated toss-up by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democratic primary contenders including Beth Davidson, Cait Conley, and Effie Phillips-Staley are competing on June 23, with recent polls showing Davidson and Conley leading in endorsements and fundraising. The district's narrow 2024 margin, combined with Democrats targeting it as a prime pickup opportunity amid the national House landscape, supports the 64% Democratic trader consensus. Republicans retain a competitive position through Lawler's incumbency and primary advantage, though the 37.5% price reflects structural challenges in this battleground area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$310วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Lawler holds New York's 17th congressional district, a Hudson Valley seat rated toss-up by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democratic primary contenders including Beth Davidson, Cait Conley, and Effie Phillips-Staley are competing on June 23, with recent polls showing Davidson and Conley leading in endorsements and fundraising. The district's narrow 2024 margin, combined with Democrats targeting it as a prime pickup opportunity amid the national House landscape, supports the 64% Democratic trader consensus. Republicans retain a competitive position through Lawler's incumbency and primary advantage, though the 37.5% price reflects structural challenges in this battleground area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$310วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Lawler holds New York's 17th congressional district, a Hudson Valley seat rated toss-up by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democratic primary contenders including Beth Davidson, Cait Conley, and Effie Phillips-Staley are competing on June 23, with recent polls showing Davidson and Conley leading in endorsements and fundraising. The district's narrow 2024 margin, combined with Democrats targeting it as a prime pickup opportunity amid the national House landscape, supports the 64% Democratic trader consensus. Republicans retain a competitive position through Lawler's incumbency and primary advantage, though the 37.5% price reflects structural challenges in this battleground area.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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