Incumbent Republican Rep. Bob Onder's commanding position in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+13 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold in the November 3 general election. Onder, who won 61% in 2024 after predecessor Blaine Luetkemeyer's retirement, filed for re-election with $367,000 cash on hand as of March 31—dwarfing his primary challenger John Fraser's zero and the fragmented Democratic field's maximum $3,600. Bethany Mann, a repeat Democratic contender from 2022 and 2024 losses, headlines weak opposition alongside Tommy Holstein, Alexander Thurmon, and Paul Wilson. The August 4 primaries loom, but Onder's incumbency and fundraising edge in this rural, conservative battleground solidify odds; a GOP primary upset, personal scandal, or national Democratic wave could shift dynamics, though barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$62 ปริมาณ
91%
Democratic Party
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Bob Onder's commanding position in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+13 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold in the November 3 general election. Onder, who won 61% in 2024 after predecessor Blaine Luetkemeyer's retirement, filed for re-election with $367,000 cash on hand as of March 31—dwarfing his primary challenger John Fraser's zero and the fragmented Democratic field's maximum $3,600. Bethany Mann, a repeat Democratic contender from 2022 and 2024 losses, headlines weak opposition alongside Tommy Holstein, Alexander Thurmon, and Paul Wilson. The August 4 primaries loom, but Onder's incumbency and fundraising edge in this rural, conservative battleground solidify odds; a GOP primary upset, personal scandal, or national Democratic wave could shift dynamics, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Bob Onder's commanding position in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+13 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold in the November 3 general election. Onder, who won 61% in 2024 after predecessor Blaine Luetkemeyer's retirement, filed for re-election with $367,000 cash on hand as of March 31—dwarfing his primary challenger John Fraser's zero and the fragmented Democratic field's maximum $3,600. Bethany Mann, a repeat Democratic contender from 2022 and 2024 losses, headlines weak opposition alongside Tommy Holstein, Alexander Thurmon, and Paul Wilson. The August 4 primaries loom, but Onder's incumbency and fundraising edge in this rural, conservative battleground solidify odds; a GOP primary upset, personal scandal, or national Democratic wave could shift dynamics, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Bob Onder's commanding position in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+13 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold in the November 3 general election. Onder, who won 61% in 2024 after predecessor Blaine Luetkemeyer's retirement, filed for re-election with $367,000 cash on hand as of March 31—dwarfing his primary challenger John Fraser's zero and the fragmented Democratic field's maximum $3,600. Bethany Mann, a repeat Democratic contender from 2022 and 2024 losses, headlines weak opposition alongside Tommy Holstein, Alexander Thurmon, and Paul Wilson. The August 4 primaries loom, but Onder's incumbency and fundraising edge in this rural, conservative battleground solidify odds; a GOP primary upset, personal scandal, or national Democratic wave could shift dynamics, though barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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