Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability to win Maryland's 8th congressional district House seat, driven by the district's extreme D+50 Cook Partisan Voting Index, incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's strong reelection bid with nearly $7 million cash on hand as of late March, and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Raskin dominated his 2024 reelection with 77% of the vote, while Republican primary contenders—including Cheryl Riley, Anita Cox, Donald Lech, and Michael Yadeta—hold minimal funds and face a fragmented field ahead of the June 23 primaries. Scenarios to challenge this include a Raskin scandal, major GOP fundraising surge, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave, though historical base rates for such deep-blue seats remain low.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$10,386 ปริมาณ
$10,386 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$10,386 ปริมาณ
$10,386 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,759 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$5,627 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability to win Maryland's 8th congressional district House seat, driven by the district's extreme D+50 Cook Partisan Voting Index, incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's strong reelection bid with nearly $7 million cash on hand as of late March, and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Raskin dominated his 2024 reelection with 77% of the vote, while Republican primary contenders—including Cheryl Riley, Anita Cox, Donald Lech, and Michael Yadeta—hold minimal funds and face a fragmented field ahead of the June 23 primaries. Scenarios to challenge this include a Raskin scandal, major GOP fundraising surge, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave, though historical base rates for such deep-blue seats remain low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,386วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability to win Maryland's 8th congressional district House seat, driven by the district's extreme D+50 Cook Partisan Voting Index, incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's strong reelection bid with nearly $7 million cash on hand as of late March, and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Raskin dominated his 2024 reelection with 77% of the vote, while Republican primary contenders—including Cheryl Riley, Anita Cox, Donald Lech, and Michael Yadeta—hold minimal funds and face a fragmented field ahead of the June 23 primaries. Scenarios to challenge this include a Raskin scandal, major GOP fundraising surge, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave, though historical base rates for such deep-blue seats remain low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,386วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability to win Maryland's 8th congressional district House seat, driven by the district's extreme D+50 Cook Partisan Voting Index, incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's strong reelection bid with nearly $7 million cash on hand as of late March, and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Raskin dominated his 2024 reelection with 77% of the vote, while Republican primary contenders—including Cheryl Riley, Anita Cox, Donald Lech, and Michael Yadeta—hold minimal funds and face a fragmented field ahead of the June 23 primaries. Scenarios to challenge this include a Raskin scandal, major GOP fundraising surge, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave, though historical base rates for such deep-blue seats remain low.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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