Trader consensus favors 60+ years at 34.5% for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's potential prison sentence, reflecting the severity of U.S. federal narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges unsealed after his January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. forces in Caracas and transfer to New York. He pleaded not guilty and remains detained under special administrative measures in a Brooklyn facility awaiting trial, with a key June 30 hearing ahead. Recent U.S. sanctions modifications on April 25 enabled Venezuelan funding for his defense, easing prior disputes but sustaining uncertainty over conviction, plea deals, or dismissals that buoy "No prison time" at 23%. Mid-range outcomes trail due to limited narcoterrorism precedents and procedural hurdles, with evidence strength, cooperating witnesses, and political extradition dynamics as pivotal differentiators that could consolidate odds toward extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว60+ 35%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 23%
40–60 13%
20–40 11.4%
$505,999 ปริมาณ
$505,999 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
23%
<20
5%
20–40
11%
40–60
13%
60+
35%
60+ 35%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 23%
40–60 13%
20–40 11.4%
$505,999 ปริมาณ
$505,999 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
$373,182 ปริมาณ
23%
<20
$37,381 ปริมาณ
5%
20–40
$47,875 ปริมาณ
11%
40–60
$15,610 ปริมาณ
13%
60+
$31,951 ปริมาณ
35%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors 60+ years at 34.5% for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's potential prison sentence, reflecting the severity of U.S. federal narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges unsealed after his January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. forces in Caracas and transfer to New York. He pleaded not guilty and remains detained under special administrative measures in a Brooklyn facility awaiting trial, with a key June 30 hearing ahead. Recent U.S. sanctions modifications on April 25 enabled Venezuelan funding for his defense, easing prior disputes but sustaining uncertainty over conviction, plea deals, or dismissals that buoy "No prison time" at 23%. Mid-range outcomes trail due to limited narcoterrorism precedents and procedural hurdles, with evidence strength, cooperating witnesses, and political extradition dynamics as pivotal differentiators that could consolidate odds toward extremes.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$505,999วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors 60+ years at 34.5% for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's potential prison sentence, reflecting the severity of U.S. federal narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges unsealed after his January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. forces in Caracas and transfer to New York. He pleaded not guilty and remains detained under special administrative measures in a Brooklyn facility awaiting trial, with a key June 30 hearing ahead. Recent U.S. sanctions modifications on April 25 enabled Venezuelan funding for his defense, easing prior disputes but sustaining uncertainty over conviction, plea deals, or dismissals that buoy "No prison time" at 23%. Mid-range outcomes trail due to limited narcoterrorism precedents and procedural hurdles, with evidence strength, cooperating witnesses, and political extradition dynamics as pivotal differentiators that could consolidate odds toward extremes.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$505,999วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors 60+ years at 34.5% for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's potential prison sentence, reflecting the severity of U.S. federal narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges unsealed after his January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. forces in Caracas and transfer to New York. He pleaded not guilty and remains detained under special administrative measures in a Brooklyn facility awaiting trial, with a key June 30 hearing ahead. Recent U.S. sanctions modifications on April 25 enabled Venezuelan funding for his defense, easing prior disputes but sustaining uncertainty over conviction, plea deals, or dismissals that buoy "No prison time" at 23%. Mid-range outcomes trail due to limited narcoterrorism precedents and procedural hurdles, with evidence strength, cooperating witnesses, and political extradition dynamics as pivotal differentiators that could consolidate odds toward extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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