US authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation and charged him with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses carrying potential life sentences. The case remains in pre-trial proceedings with a June 30 hearing scheduled, allowing time for motions on head-of-state immunity, classified evidence delays, or plea negotiations similar to prior high-profile cases. Traders see roughly even odds across long sentences, acquittal or dismissal, and shorter terms because conviction is not assured and sentencing guidelines depend on trial evidence and cooperation factors that remain unresolved.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว60+ 32%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 26%
20–40 20.9%
<20 12.3%
$553,059 ปริมาณ
$553,059 ปริมาณ
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
26%
<20
12%
20–40
21%
40–60
8%
60+
32%
60+ 32%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 26%
20–40 20.9%
<20 12.3%
$553,059 ปริมาณ
$553,059 ปริมาณ
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
26%
<20
12%
20–40
21%
40–60
8%
60+
32%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation and charged him with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses carrying potential life sentences. The case remains in pre-trial proceedings with a June 30 hearing scheduled, allowing time for motions on head-of-state immunity, classified evidence delays, or plea negotiations similar to prior high-profile cases. Traders see roughly even odds across long sentences, acquittal or dismissal, and shorter terms because conviction is not assured and sentencing guidelines depend on trial evidence and cooperation factors that remain unresolved.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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