Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' U.S. Senate seat in the March 17 primary, defeating Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly with strong backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and the state's Democratic political machine, solidifying trader consensus on her commanding position in this safe blue state. Republicans have not won a statewide election in over a decade, leaving nominee Don Tracy—an ex-party chair facing a crowded primary field—with steep barriers amid Chicago's urban dominance and suburban Democratic lean. No major general election polls have emerged post-primary, but historical base rates for Illinois Senate races favor incumbency-like continuity. Scenarios to upend this include a major Stratton scandal, national GOP midterm wave, or turnout surges in downstate rural areas, though odds imply low likelihood ahead of the November 3 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIllinois Senate Election Winner
Illinois Senate Election Winner
$24,617 ปริมาณ
$24,617 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
3%
$24,617 ปริมาณ
$24,617 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$12,484 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican
$12,133 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' U.S. Senate seat in the March 17 primary, defeating Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly with strong backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and the state's Democratic political machine, solidifying trader consensus on her commanding position in this safe blue state. Republicans have not won a statewide election in over a decade, leaving nominee Don Tracy—an ex-party chair facing a crowded primary field—with steep barriers amid Chicago's urban dominance and suburban Democratic lean. No major general election polls have emerged post-primary, but historical base rates for Illinois Senate races favor incumbency-like continuity. Scenarios to upend this include a major Stratton scandal, national GOP midterm wave, or turnout surges in downstate rural areas, though odds imply low likelihood ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,617วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' U.S. Senate seat in the March 17 primary, defeating Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly with strong backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and the state's Democratic political machine, solidifying trader consensus on her commanding position in this safe blue state. Republicans have not won a statewide election in over a decade, leaving nominee Don Tracy—an ex-party chair facing a crowded primary field—with steep barriers amid Chicago's urban dominance and suburban Democratic lean. No major general election polls have emerged post-primary, but historical base rates for Illinois Senate races favor incumbency-like continuity. Scenarios to upend this include a major Stratton scandal, national GOP midterm wave, or turnout surges in downstate rural areas, though odds imply low likelihood ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,617วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' U.S. Senate seat in the March 17 primary, defeating Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly with strong backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and the state's Democratic political machine, solidifying trader consensus on her commanding position in this safe blue state. Republicans have not won a statewide election in over a decade, leaving nominee Don Tracy—an ex-party chair facing a crowded primary field—with steep barriers amid Chicago's urban dominance and suburban Democratic lean. No major general election polls have emerged post-primary, but historical base rates for Illinois Senate races favor incumbency-like continuity. Scenarios to upend this include a major Stratton scandal, national GOP midterm wave, or turnout surges in downstate rural areas, though odds imply low likelihood ahead of the November 3 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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