Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 17, 2026, Illinois Democratic primary for the 1st Congressional District, solidifying his path to a third term amid the district's strong Democratic lean, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report with a partisan voting index exceeding D+25 based on recent cycles. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5%, reflecting Jackson's dominant 2024 reelection margin over 80% and the South Side Chicago base's consistent high turnout among key voting blocs. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, a business consultant who won a low-turnout primary, faces steep uphill battle in this safe seat. Late-breaking scenarios like a major Jackson scandal, indictment, or unprecedented national Republican wave could shift odds, though historical precedents for such flips in D+ districts remain rare.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-01 House Election Winner
IL-01 House Election Winner
$32,675 ปริมาณ
$32,675 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$32,675 ปริมาณ
$32,675 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,573 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$19,103 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 17, 2026, Illinois Democratic primary for the 1st Congressional District, solidifying his path to a third term amid the district's strong Democratic lean, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report with a partisan voting index exceeding D+25 based on recent cycles. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5%, reflecting Jackson's dominant 2024 reelection margin over 80% and the South Side Chicago base's consistent high turnout among key voting blocs. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, a business consultant who won a low-turnout primary, faces steep uphill battle in this safe seat. Late-breaking scenarios like a major Jackson scandal, indictment, or unprecedented national Republican wave could shift odds, though historical precedents for such flips in D+ districts remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,675วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 17, 2026, Illinois Democratic primary for the 1st Congressional District, solidifying his path to a third term amid the district's strong Democratic lean, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report with a partisan voting index exceeding D+25 based on recent cycles. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5%, reflecting Jackson's dominant 2024 reelection margin over 80% and the South Side Chicago base's consistent high turnout among key voting blocs. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, a business consultant who won a low-turnout primary, faces steep uphill battle in this safe seat. Late-breaking scenarios like a major Jackson scandal, indictment, or unprecedented national Republican wave could shift odds, though historical precedents for such flips in D+ districts remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,675วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 17, 2026, Illinois Democratic primary for the 1st Congressional District, solidifying his path to a third term amid the district's strong Democratic lean, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report with a partisan voting index exceeding D+25 based on recent cycles. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5%, reflecting Jackson's dominant 2024 reelection margin over 80% and the South Side Chicago base's consistent high turnout among key voting blocs. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, a business consultant who won a low-turnout primary, faces steep uphill battle in this safe seat. Late-breaking scenarios like a major Jackson scandal, indictment, or unprecedented national Republican wave could shift odds, though historical precedents for such flips in D+ districts remain rare.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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