The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent margins above 30 points in recent cycles, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold in Illinois's 1st congressional district. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after winning 66 percent in 2024, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, underscoring limited crossover appeal in a South Side Chicago-based constituency with strong urban Democratic voting patterns. A late national Republican surge, significant candidate scandal, or unexpected turnout shift could narrow the gap, though historical data shows such reversals remain rare in this district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-01 House Election Winner
IL-01 House Election Winner
$40,238 ปริมาณ
$40,238 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$40,238 ปริมาณ
$40,238 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,649 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$22,588 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent margins above 30 points in recent cycles, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold in Illinois's 1st congressional district. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after winning 66 percent in 2024, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, underscoring limited crossover appeal in a South Side Chicago-based constituency with strong urban Democratic voting patterns. A late national Republican surge, significant candidate scandal, or unexpected turnout shift could narrow the gap, though historical data shows such reversals remain rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,238วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent margins above 30 points in recent cycles, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold in Illinois's 1st congressional district. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after winning 66 percent in 2024, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, underscoring limited crossover appeal in a South Side Chicago-based constituency with strong urban Democratic voting patterns. A late national Republican surge, significant candidate scandal, or unexpected turnout shift could narrow the gap, though historical data shows such reversals remain rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,238วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent margins above 30 points in recent cycles, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold in Illinois's 1st congressional district. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after winning 66 percent in 2024, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, underscoring limited crossover appeal in a South Side Chicago-based constituency with strong urban Democratic voting patterns. A late national Republican surge, significant candidate scandal, or unexpected turnout shift could narrow the gap, though historical data shows such reversals remain rare in this district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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