Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 94.4% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, leaving insufficient time for SEC review, roadshows, and pricing in the data analytics leader's lakehouse platform race against Snowflake. Recent $5 billion private funding in February closed at a $134 billion valuation, with $5.4 billion ARR growing 65% year-over-year amid AI/ML workload demand, reducing public market urgency while bolstering cash reserves via January's $1.8 billion debt raise. CEO Ali Ghodsi's non-committal stance on 2026 timing underscores caution in a volatile IPO environment; a surprise filing or market rebound could challenge this positioning, though historical tech IPO timelines suggest H2 likelihood.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วไม่มีการ IPO ภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน 2026 94.4%
100–125 พันล้าน 5.5%
125–150 พันล้าน 1.3%
200–250 พันล้าน 1.3%
$402,819 ปริมาณ
$402,819 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
<100B
<1%
100–125 พันล้าน
5%
125–150 พันล้าน
1%
150–175 พันล้าน
<1%
175–200 พันล้าน
<1%
200–250 พันล้าน
1%
250 พันล้านดอลลาร์ขึ้นไป
1%
ไม่มีการ IPO ภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน 2026
94%
ไม่มีการ IPO ภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน 2026 94.4%
100–125 พันล้าน 5.5%
125–150 พันล้าน 1.3%
200–250 พันล้าน 1.3%
$402,819 ปริมาณ
$402,819 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
<100B
$33,196 ปริมาณ
<1%
100–125 พันล้าน
$61,644 ปริมาณ
5%
125–150 พันล้าน
$26,452 ปริมาณ
1%
150–175 พันล้าน
$59,742 ปริมาณ
<1%
175–200 พันล้าน
$58,148 ปริมาณ
<1%
200–250 พันล้าน
$21,112 ปริมาณ
1%
250 พันล้านดอลลาร์ขึ้นไป
$126,074 ปริมาณ
1%
ไม่มีการ IPO ภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน 2026
$16,452 ปริมาณ
94%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 94.4% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, leaving insufficient time for SEC review, roadshows, and pricing in the data analytics leader's lakehouse platform race against Snowflake. Recent $5 billion private funding in February closed at a $134 billion valuation, with $5.4 billion ARR growing 65% year-over-year amid AI/ML workload demand, reducing public market urgency while bolstering cash reserves via January's $1.8 billion debt raise. CEO Ali Ghodsi's non-committal stance on 2026 timing underscores caution in a volatile IPO environment; a surprise filing or market rebound could challenge this positioning, though historical tech IPO timelines suggest H2 likelihood.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$402,819วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 94.4% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, leaving insufficient time for SEC review, roadshows, and pricing in the data analytics leader's lakehouse platform race against Snowflake. Recent $5 billion private funding in February closed at a $134 billion valuation, with $5.4 billion ARR growing 65% year-over-year amid AI/ML workload demand, reducing public market urgency while bolstering cash reserves via January's $1.8 billion debt raise. CEO Ali Ghodsi's non-committal stance on 2026 timing underscores caution in a volatile IPO environment; a surprise filing or market rebound could challenge this positioning, though historical tech IPO timelines suggest H2 likelihood.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$402,819วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 94.4% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, leaving insufficient time for SEC review, roadshows, and pricing in the data analytics leader's lakehouse platform race against Snowflake. Recent $5 billion private funding in February closed at a $134 billion valuation, with $5.4 billion ARR growing 65% year-over-year amid AI/ML workload demand, reducing public market urgency while bolstering cash reserves via January's $1.8 billion debt raise. CEO Ali Ghodsi's non-committal stance on 2026 timing underscores caution in a volatile IPO environment; a surprise filing or market rebound could challenge this positioning, though historical tech IPO timelines suggest H2 likelihood.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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