Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 (92.4% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 registration filing as of mid-April and the company's fresh $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion valuation, providing substantial runway amid $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue and positive free cash flow from its data lakehouse and AI platforms. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled readiness to go public "when the time is right," with audited GAAP financials disclosed in March as standard IPO preparation, but analysts eye a potential H2 2026 timeline given typical 4-6 month processes from filing to close. A surprise confidential S-1 submission and accelerated roadshow could challenge this positioning, though market volatility or regulatory hurdles remain risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วไม่มีการ IPO ภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน 2026 92.0%
250 พันล้านดอลลาร์ขึ้นไป 3.0%
125–150 พันล้าน 1.9%
175–200 พันล้าน 1.5%
$371,825 ปริมาณ
$371,825 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
<100B
1%
100–125 พันล้าน
1%
125–150 พันล้าน
2%
150–175 พันล้าน
1%
175–200 พันล้าน
1%
200–250 พันล้าน
1%
250 พันล้านดอลลาร์ขึ้นไป
3%
ไม่มีการ IPO ภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน 2026
92%
ไม่มีการ IPO ภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน 2026 92.0%
250 พันล้านดอลลาร์ขึ้นไป 3.0%
125–150 พันล้าน 1.9%
175–200 พันล้าน 1.5%
$371,825 ปริมาณ
$371,825 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
<100B
$32,447 ปริมาณ
1%
100–125 พันล้าน
$38,807 ปริมาณ
1%
125–150 พันล้าน
$25,374 ปริมาณ
2%
150–175 พันล้าน
$59,055 ปริมาณ
1%
175–200 พันล้าน
$57,426 ปริมาณ
1%
200–250 พันล้าน
$19,385 ปริมาณ
1%
250 พันล้านดอลลาร์ขึ้นไป
$125,400 ปริมาณ
3%
ไม่มีการ IPO ภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน 2026
$13,930 ปริมาณ
92%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 (92.4% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 registration filing as of mid-April and the company's fresh $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion valuation, providing substantial runway amid $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue and positive free cash flow from its data lakehouse and AI platforms. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled readiness to go public "when the time is right," with audited GAAP financials disclosed in March as standard IPO preparation, but analysts eye a potential H2 2026 timeline given typical 4-6 month processes from filing to close. A surprise confidential S-1 submission and accelerated roadshow could challenge this positioning, though market volatility or regulatory hurdles remain risks.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$371,825วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 (92.4% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 registration filing as of mid-April and the company's fresh $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion valuation, providing substantial runway amid $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue and positive free cash flow from its data lakehouse and AI platforms. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled readiness to go public "when the time is right," with audited GAAP financials disclosed in March as standard IPO preparation, but analysts eye a potential H2 2026 timeline given typical 4-6 month processes from filing to close. A surprise confidential S-1 submission and accelerated roadshow could challenge this positioning, though market volatility or regulatory hurdles remain risks.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$371,825วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 (92.4% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 registration filing as of mid-April and the company's fresh $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion valuation, providing substantial runway amid $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue and positive free cash flow from its data lakehouse and AI platforms. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled readiness to go public "when the time is right," with audited GAAP financials disclosed in March as standard IPO preparation, but analysts eye a potential H2 2026 timeline given typical 4-6 month processes from filing to close. A surprise confidential S-1 submission and accelerated roadshow could challenge this positioning, though market volatility or regulatory hurdles remain risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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