Databricks’ strong revenue trajectory—surpassing a $7 billion annualized run rate with 65-80% year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow—has driven successive private rounds to a $190 billion valuation in August 2026, up from $134 billion earlier in the year. However, CEO comments in June highlighting a saturated 2026 IPO calendar dominated by larger offerings, combined with the company’s decision to pursue additional private capital instead of filing an S-1, have elevated the implied probability of no IPO by end-2027 to 63.5%. Trader consensus across the listed market-cap buckets reflects uncertainty over eventual public pricing relative to the current $190 billion private mark, tempered by macroeconomic rate sensitivity and AI-sector multiples. Key near-term catalysts include any follow-on funding announcements or shifts in broader IPO sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$150B-$200B 77%
<$150B 67%
$400B-$450B 66%
$200B-$250B 65%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
67%
$150B-$200B
77%
$200B-$250B
65%
$250B-$300B
60%
$300B-$350B
60%
$350B-$400B
60%
$400B-$450B
66%
$450B+
60%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
64%
$150B-$200B 77%
<$150B 67%
$400B-$450B 66%
$200B-$250B 65%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
$0 ปริมาณ
67%
$150B-$200B
$0 ปริมาณ
77%
$200B-$250B
$18 ปริมาณ
65%
$250B-$300B
$18 ปริมาณ
60%
$300B-$350B
$18 ปริมาณ
60%
$350B-$400B
$18 ปริมาณ
60%
$400B-$450B
$0 ปริมาณ
66%
$450B+
$0 ปริมาณ
60%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$172 ปริมาณ
64%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ strong revenue trajectory—surpassing a $7 billion annualized run rate with 65-80% year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow—has driven successive private rounds to a $190 billion valuation in August 2026, up from $134 billion earlier in the year. However, CEO comments in June highlighting a saturated 2026 IPO calendar dominated by larger offerings, combined with the company’s decision to pursue additional private capital instead of filing an S-1, have elevated the implied probability of no IPO by end-2027 to 63.5%. Trader consensus across the listed market-cap buckets reflects uncertainty over eventual public pricing relative to the current $190 billion private mark, tempered by macroeconomic rate sensitivity and AI-sector multiples. Key near-term catalysts include any follow-on funding announcements or shifts in broader IPO sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$244วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ strong revenue trajectory—surpassing a $7 billion annualized run rate with 65-80% year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow—has driven successive private rounds to a $190 billion valuation in August 2026, up from $134 billion earlier in the year. However, CEO comments in June highlighting a saturated 2026 IPO calendar dominated by larger offerings, combined with the company’s decision to pursue additional private capital instead of filing an S-1, have elevated the implied probability of no IPO by end-2027 to 63.5%. Trader consensus across the listed market-cap buckets reflects uncertainty over eventual public pricing relative to the current $190 billion private mark, tempered by macroeconomic rate sensitivity and AI-sector multiples. Key near-term catalysts include any follow-on funding announcements or shifts in broader IPO sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$244วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks’ strong revenue trajectory—surpassing a $7 billion annualized run rate with 65-80% year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow—has driven successive private rounds to a $190 billion valuation in August 2026, up from $134 billion earlier in the year. However, CEO comments in June highlighting a saturated 2026 IPO calendar dominated by larger offerings, combined with the company’s decision to pursue additional private capital instead of filing an S-1, have elevated the implied probability of no IPO by end-2027 to 63.5%. Trader consensus across the listed market-cap buckets reflects uncertainty over eventual public pricing relative to the current $190 billion private mark, tempered by macroeconomic rate sensitivity and AI-sector multiples. Key near-term catalysts include any follow-on funding announcements or shifts in broader IPO sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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