Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 68.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, reflecting Anthropic's accelerated preparations—including hiring law firm Wilson Sonsini for a potential Q4 2026 debut as early as October—against OpenAI's internal friction. OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar recently flagged CEO Sam Altman's aggressive timeline as unfeasible due to soaring compute costs projected at $121 billion by 2028 and uneven revenue growth, despite hitting $25 billion annualized. Anthropic's Claude large language model drives explosive revenue—reportedly surging to a $30 billion run-rate—bolstering its competitive positioning and investor appetite in the AI sector. Key catalysts include confidential S-1 filings or market window openings amid stabilizing IPO conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic
$54,164 ปริมาณ
$54,164 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
$54,164 ปริมาณ
$54,164 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 68.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, reflecting Anthropic's accelerated preparations—including hiring law firm Wilson Sonsini for a potential Q4 2026 debut as early as October—against OpenAI's internal friction. OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar recently flagged CEO Sam Altman's aggressive timeline as unfeasible due to soaring compute costs projected at $121 billion by 2028 and uneven revenue growth, despite hitting $25 billion annualized. Anthropic's Claude large language model drives explosive revenue—reportedly surging to a $30 billion run-rate—bolstering its competitive positioning and investor appetite in the AI sector. Key catalysts include confidential S-1 filings or market window openings amid stabilizing IPO conditions.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54,164วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 68.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, reflecting Anthropic's accelerated preparations—including hiring law firm Wilson Sonsini for a potential Q4 2026 debut as early as October—against OpenAI's internal friction. OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar recently flagged CEO Sam Altman's aggressive timeline as unfeasible due to soaring compute costs projected at $121 billion by 2028 and uneven revenue growth, despite hitting $25 billion annualized. Anthropic's Claude large language model drives explosive revenue—reportedly surging to a $30 billion run-rate—bolstering its competitive positioning and investor appetite in the AI sector. Key catalysts include confidential S-1 filings or market window openings amid stabilizing IPO conditions.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54,164วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 68.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, reflecting Anthropic's accelerated preparations—including hiring law firm Wilson Sonsini for a potential Q4 2026 debut as early as October—against OpenAI's internal friction. OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar recently flagged CEO Sam Altman's aggressive timeline as unfeasible due to soaring compute costs projected at $121 billion by 2028 and uneven revenue growth, despite hitting $25 billion annualized. Anthropic's Claude large language model drives explosive revenue—reportedly surging to a $30 billion run-rate—bolstering its competitive positioning and investor appetite in the AI sector. Key catalysts include confidential S-1 filings or market window openings amid stabilizing IPO conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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