Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic going public first at 63.5% implied probability, driven by its accelerated IPO preparations amid robust revenue growth tripling to a $30 billion run-rate in the past year. Late March reports revealed Anthropic hired law firm Wilson Sonsini for groundwork on a potential Q4 2026 listing, with bankers pitching a record $60 billion raise, signaling confidence in its AI safety-focused large language models like Claude. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal friction, as CFO Sarah Friar warned on April 6 that CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 timeline risks readiness amid ballooning compute costs projected at $121 billion by 2028. Key catalysts ahead include S-1 filings and SEC reviews, with Anthropic's momentum positioning it to leapfrog its larger rival in this high-stakes AI lab race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic
$52,926 ปริมาณ
$52,926 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
$52,926 ปริมาณ
$52,926 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic going public first at 63.5% implied probability, driven by its accelerated IPO preparations amid robust revenue growth tripling to a $30 billion run-rate in the past year. Late March reports revealed Anthropic hired law firm Wilson Sonsini for groundwork on a potential Q4 2026 listing, with bankers pitching a record $60 billion raise, signaling confidence in its AI safety-focused large language models like Claude. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal friction, as CFO Sarah Friar warned on April 6 that CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 timeline risks readiness amid ballooning compute costs projected at $121 billion by 2028. Key catalysts ahead include S-1 filings and SEC reviews, with Anthropic's momentum positioning it to leapfrog its larger rival in this high-stakes AI lab race.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,926วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic going public first at 63.5% implied probability, driven by its accelerated IPO preparations amid robust revenue growth tripling to a $30 billion run-rate in the past year. Late March reports revealed Anthropic hired law firm Wilson Sonsini for groundwork on a potential Q4 2026 listing, with bankers pitching a record $60 billion raise, signaling confidence in its AI safety-focused large language models like Claude. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal friction, as CFO Sarah Friar warned on April 6 that CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 timeline risks readiness amid ballooning compute costs projected at $121 billion by 2028. Key catalysts ahead include S-1 filings and SEC reviews, with Anthropic's momentum positioning it to leapfrog its larger rival in this high-stakes AI lab race.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,926วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic going public first at 63.5% implied probability, driven by its accelerated IPO preparations amid robust revenue growth tripling to a $30 billion run-rate in the past year. Late March reports revealed Anthropic hired law firm Wilson Sonsini for groundwork on a potential Q4 2026 listing, with bankers pitching a record $60 billion raise, signaling confidence in its AI safety-focused large language models like Claude. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal friction, as CFO Sarah Friar warned on April 6 that CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 timeline risks readiness amid ballooning compute costs projected at $121 billion by 2028. Key catalysts ahead include S-1 filings and SEC reviews, with Anthropic's momentum positioning it to leapfrog its larger rival in this high-stakes AI lab race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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