Ciro Gomes leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability for the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, with a potential runoff on October 25, driven by recent polls like Datafolha (March 23) showing him at 47% in first-round voting intentions against incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32%, and Paraná Pesquisas (late March) with Ciro at 46.6%. As former governor, Ciro benefits from strong name recognition, family ties including Senator Cid Gomes, and opposition consolidation around his PSDB candidacy. Mixed surveys, such as Instituto Opinião (early April) giving Elmano 50% with Lula backing, highlight runoff competitiveness, while high crime rates challenge the PT incumbent. Ciro's mid-May decision on a presidential bid versus state focus adds uncertainty ahead of registration deadlines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 50%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Eduardo Girão 11.1%
Roberto Cláudio 11.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
50%
Elmano de Freitas
24%
Eduardo Girão
11%
Roberto Cláudio
11%
Capitão Wagner
13%
Camilo Santana
3%
Ciro Gomes 50%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Eduardo Girão 11.1%
Roberto Cláudio 11.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$3,454 ปริมาณ
50%
Elmano de Freitas
$545 ปริมาณ
24%
Eduardo Girão
$388 ปริมาณ
11%
Roberto Cláudio
$388 ปริมาณ
11%
Capitão Wagner
$855 ปริมาณ
13%
Camilo Santana
$260 ปริมาณ
3%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability for the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, with a potential runoff on October 25, driven by recent polls like Datafolha (March 23) showing him at 47% in first-round voting intentions against incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32%, and Paraná Pesquisas (late March) with Ciro at 46.6%. As former governor, Ciro benefits from strong name recognition, family ties including Senator Cid Gomes, and opposition consolidation around his PSDB candidacy. Mixed surveys, such as Instituto Opinião (early April) giving Elmano 50% with Lula backing, highlight runoff competitiveness, while high crime rates challenge the PT incumbent. Ciro's mid-May decision on a presidential bid versus state focus adds uncertainty ahead of registration deadlines.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,890วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability for the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, with a potential runoff on October 25, driven by recent polls like Datafolha (March 23) showing him at 47% in first-round voting intentions against incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32%, and Paraná Pesquisas (late March) with Ciro at 46.6%. As former governor, Ciro benefits from strong name recognition, family ties including Senator Cid Gomes, and opposition consolidation around his PSDB candidacy. Mixed surveys, such as Instituto Opinião (early April) giving Elmano 50% with Lula backing, highlight runoff competitiveness, while high crime rates challenge the PT incumbent. Ciro's mid-May decision on a presidential bid versus state focus adds uncertainty ahead of registration deadlines.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,890วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability for the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, with a potential runoff on October 25, driven by recent polls like Datafolha (March 23) showing him at 47% in first-round voting intentions against incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32%, and Paraná Pesquisas (late March) with Ciro at 46.6%. As former governor, Ciro benefits from strong name recognition, family ties including Senator Cid Gomes, and opposition consolidation around his PSDB candidacy. Mixed surveys, such as Instituto Opinião (early April) giving Elmano 50% with Lula backing, highlight runoff competitiveness, while high crime rates challenge the PT incumbent. Ciro's mid-May decision on a presidential bid versus state focus adds uncertainty ahead of registration deadlines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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