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Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?

Market icon

Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$736,776 Объем

<1% chance
Polymarket

$736,776 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia withdraws all conventional combat units from Syria by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

This market refers only to conventional Russian military units operating under the Ministry of Defense, such as ground forces, air forces, or naval personnel. The presence of private military contractors (PMCs) such as Wagner Group, military advisors, or special operations forces will not disqualify the market from resolving to "Yes," provided there are no conventional Russian military units actively operating in Syria.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Объем
$736,776
Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2025
Дата создания
Dec 2, 2024, 11:47 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia withdraws all conventional combat units from Syria by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. This market refers only to conventional Russian military units operating under the Ministry of Defense, such as ground forces, air forces, or naval personnel. The presence of private military contractors (PMCs) such as Wagner Group, military advisors, or special operations forces will not disqualify the market from resolving to "Yes," provided there are no conventional Russian military units actively operating in Syria. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia withdraws all conventional combat units from Syria by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

This market refers only to conventional Russian military units operating under the Ministry of Defense, such as ground forces, air forces, or naval personnel. The presence of private military contractors (PMCs) such as Wagner Group, military advisors, or special operations forces will not disqualify the market from resolving to "Yes," provided there are no conventional Russian military units actively operating in Syria.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Объем
$736,776
Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2025
Дата создания
Dec 2, 2024, 11:47 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia withdraws all conventional combat units from Syria by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. This market refers only to conventional Russian military units operating under the Ministry of Defense, such as ground forces, air forces, or naval personnel. The presence of private military contractors (PMCs) such as Wagner Group, military advisors, or special operations forces will not disqualify the market from resolving to "Yes," provided there are no conventional Russian military units actively operating in Syria. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?" has generated $736.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.