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Будет ли ОПЕК наращивать добычу к следующей встрече?

Market icon

Будет ли ОПЕК наращивать добычу к следующей встрече?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$329 Объем

<1% chance
Polymarket

$329 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike by time the February 2026 OPEC+ meeting release is published, including through that release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on February 1, 2026 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1574587-4-january-2026.html). If that February 1, 2026 meeting passes, the release is published, and no qualifying production hike is announced, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, and no qualifying production hike is otherwise announced, this market will resolve to "No".

A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to increase production and specifies the conditions and volume in the February 2026 announcement.

The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$329
Дата окончания
Feb 1, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 3:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike by time the February 2026 OPEC+ meeting release is published, including through that release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on February 1, 2026 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1574587-4-january-2026.html). If that February 1, 2026 meeting passes, the release is published, and no qualifying production hike is announced, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, and no qualifying production hike is otherwise announced, this market will resolve to "No". A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to increase production and specifies the conditions and volume in the February 2026 announcement. The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike by time the February 2026 OPEC+ meeting release is published, including through that release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on February 1, 2026 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1574587-4-january-2026.html). If that February 1, 2026 meeting passes, the release is published, and no qualifying production hike is announced, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, and no qualifying production hike is otherwise announced, this market will resolve to "No".

A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to increase production and specifies the conditions and volume in the February 2026 announcement.

The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$329
Дата окончания
Feb 1, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 3:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike by time the February 2026 OPEC+ meeting release is published, including through that release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on February 1, 2026 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1574587-4-january-2026.html). If that February 1, 2026 meeting passes, the release is published, and no qualifying production hike is announced, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, and no qualifying production hike is otherwise announced, this market will resolve to "No". A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to increase production and specifies the conditions and volume in the February 2026 announcement. The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Будет ли ОПЕК наращивать добычу к следующей встрече?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Будет ли ОПЕК наращивать добычу к следующей встрече?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Будет ли ОПЕК наращивать добычу к следующей встрече?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Будет ли ОПЕК наращивать добычу к следующей встрече?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Будет ли ОПЕК наращивать добычу к следующей встрече?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.