Hong Wang has surged as the consensus frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal following her 2025 resolution of the century-old three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture in geometric measure theory, a breakthrough with implications for imaging and cryptography that earned her the Salem Prize and ICCM Gold Award last October. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects this momentum, with strong implied probabilities also for Jacob Tsimerman's André-Oort conjecture proof and Jack Thorne's advances in the Langlands program, amid a competitive field of under-40 prodigies like Yu Deng and Sam Raskin. The International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia (July 23–30) will announce 2–4 winners, where late-breaking papers or endorsements could shift dynamics in this secretive academy process historically guided by precursor honors and peer narrative.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКто выиграет медаль Филдса 2026 года?
Кто выиграет медаль Филдса 2026 года?
$369,220 Объем
30 июл. 2026 г.
Джейкоб Цимерман
63%
Хон Ван
67%
Ю Дэн
56%
Джек Торн
46%
Джон Пардон
34%
Джулиан Сахасрабудхе
38%
Александр Ефимов
10%
Александр Логунов
28%
Уилл Сауин
31%
Сэм Раскин
38%
$369,220 Объем
Джейкоб Цимерман
$44,752 Объем
63%
Хон Ван
$48,431 Объем
67%
Ю Дэн
$98,649 Объем
56%
Джек Торн
$94,121 Объем
46%
Джон Пардон
$78,776 Объем
34%
Джулиан Сахасрабудхе
$0 Объем
38%
Александр Ефимов
$519 Объем
10%
Александр Логунов
$159 Объем
28%
Уилл Сауин
$3,785 Объем
31%
Сэм Раскин
$27 Объем
38%
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Hong Wang has surged as the consensus frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal following her 2025 resolution of the century-old three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture in geometric measure theory, a breakthrough with implications for imaging and cryptography that earned her the Salem Prize and ICCM Gold Award last October. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects this momentum, with strong implied probabilities also for Jacob Tsimerman's André-Oort conjecture proof and Jack Thorne's advances in the Langlands program, amid a competitive field of under-40 prodigies like Yu Deng and Sam Raskin. The International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia (July 23–30) will announce 2–4 winners, where late-breaking papers or endorsements could shift dynamics in this secretive academy process historically guided by precursor honors and peer narrative.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
Объем
$369,220Дата окончания
30 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Hong Wang has surged as the consensus frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal following her 2025 resolution of the century-old three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture in geometric measure theory, a breakthrough with implications for imaging and cryptography that earned her the Salem Prize and ICCM Gold Award last October. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects this momentum, with strong implied probabilities also for Jacob Tsimerman's André-Oort conjecture proof and Jack Thorne's advances in the Langlands program, amid a competitive field of under-40 prodigies like Yu Deng and Sam Raskin. The International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia (July 23–30) will announce 2–4 winners, where late-breaking papers or endorsements could shift dynamics in this secretive academy process historically guided by precursor honors and peer narrative.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Объем
$369,220Дата окончания
30 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hong Wang has surged as the consensus frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal following her 2025 resolution of the century-old three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture in geometric measure theory, a breakthrough with implications for imaging and cryptography that earned her the Salem Prize and ICCM Gold Award last October. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects this momentum, with strong implied probabilities also for Jacob Tsimerman's André-Oort conjecture proof and Jack Thorne's advances in the Langlands program, amid a competitive field of under-40 prodigies like Yu Deng and Sam Raskin. The International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia (July 23–30) will announce 2–4 winners, where late-breaking papers or endorsements could shift dynamics in this secretive academy process historically guided by precursor honors and peer narrative.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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