$1,512,300 Объем

Aug 22, 2024
Polymarket

$1,512,300 Объем

Polymarket

Hillary Clinton

$138,691 Объем

Yes

George Clooney

$57,696 Объем

No

Mark Cuban

$31,480 Объем

No

Nancy Pelosi

$39,745 Объем

Yes

Larry David

$10,983 Объем

No

Taylor Swift

$169,998 Объем

No

Bernie Sanders

$42,600 Объем

Yes

Charli XCX

$51,316 Объем

No

Sean O' Brien

$40,686 Объем

No

Jill Biden

$129,252 Объем

Yes

Hunter Biden

$566,216 Объем

No

Michelle Obama

$149,437 Объем

Yes

Lebron James

$18,785 Объем

No

Barack Obama

$23,887 Объем

Yes

Bill Clinton

$41,528 Объем

Yes

The 2024 Democratic National Convention is scheduled for August 19-22, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift is a speaker at the Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This person will be considered a "speaker" if they publicly give a speech in-person at the convention.

Brief comments, introductions, or participation in a panel or discussion do not count for a "Yes" resolution, they must actually give a speech.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Democratic party, including footage from the convention, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$1,512,300
Дата окончания
Aug 22, 2024
Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2024, 4:40 PM ET
The 2024 Democratic National Convention is scheduled for August 19-22, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift is a speaker at the Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This person will be considered a "speaker" if they publicly give a speech in-person at the convention. Brief comments, introductions, or participation in a panel or discussion do not count for a "Yes" resolution, they must actually give a speech. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Democratic party, including footage from the convention, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will speak at the DNC?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hillary Clinton" at 100%, followed by "Nancy Pelosi" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will speak at the DNC?" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 9, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will speak at the DNC?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will speak at the DNC?" is "Hillary Clinton" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nancy Pelosi" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will speak at the DNC?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.