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Какой ИИ компании впервые достигнет отметки 1500 на арене чат-ботов к 30 июня?

Market icon

Какой ИИ компании впервые достигнет отметки 1500 на арене чат-ботов к 30 июня?

Anthropic 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Z.ai <1%

Polymarket

$610,975 Объем

Anthropic 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Z.ai <1%

Polymarket

$610,975 Объем

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Anthropic

$139,066 Объем

Да

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OpenAI

$71,148 Объем

Нет

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DeepSeek

$95,315 Объем

Нет

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Z.ai

$79,604 Объем

Нет

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xAI

$34,675 Объем

Нет

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Нет к 30 июня

$57,526 Объем

Нет

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Mistral

$36,701 Объем

Нет

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Google

$56,772 Объем

Нет

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Alibaba

$40,168 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".

If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Объем
$610,975
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026
Открытие рынка
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30". If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Какой ИИ компании впервые достигнет отметки 1500 на арене чат-ботов к 30 июня?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthropic" at 100%, followed by "OpenAI" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Какой ИИ компании впервые достигнет отметки 1500 на арене чат-ботов к 30 июня?" has generated $611K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Какой ИИ компании впервые достигнет отметки 1500 на арене чат-ботов к 30 июня?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Какой ИИ компании впервые достигнет отметки 1500 на арене чат-ботов к 30 июня?" is "Anthropic" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "OpenAI" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Какой ИИ компании впервые достигнет отметки 1500 на арене чат-ботов к 30 июня?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.