Polymarket traders are leaning bullish on the S&P 500 sustaining above 5,300 by March end, with implied probabilities around 65% for upside bins, fueled by robust Q4 earnings beats from megacaps like Nvidia and persistent AI-driven momentum pushing the index to fresh all-time highs near 5,250. Easing inflation pressures, evidenced by January CPI at 3.1% year-over-year below expectations, bolster rate-cut bets from the Fed's March 19-20 FOMC meeting, where markets price a 75% chance of steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds rate but dot-plot signals for three 2024 cuts. Key risks include hotter-than-expected March 12 CPI print or escalating Middle East tensions disrupting energy markets, potentially capping gains amid elevated valuations at 21x forward P/E.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?
$52,119 Объем
↓ 5700
1%
↓ 5600
2%
↓ 5500
1%
↓ 5350
1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
1%
↓ 4750
1%
$52,119 Объем
↓ 5700
1%
↓ 5600
2%
↓ 5500
1%
↓ 5350
1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
1%
↓ 4750
1%
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are leaning bullish on the S&P 500 sustaining above 5,300 by March end, with implied probabilities around 65% for upside bins, fueled by robust Q4 earnings beats from megacaps like Nvidia and persistent AI-driven momentum pushing the index to fresh all-time highs near 5,250. Easing inflation pressures, evidenced by January CPI at 3.1% year-over-year below expectations, bolster rate-cut bets from the Fed's March 19-20 FOMC meeting, where markets price a 75% chance of steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds rate but dot-plot signals for three 2024 cuts. Key risks include hotter-than-expected March 12 CPI print or escalating Middle East tensions disrupting energy markets, potentially capping gains amid elevated valuations at 21x forward P/E.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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