Polymarket traders are assigning a strong implied probability to the S&P 500 surpassing 5,800 in March, reflecting bullish sentiment fueled by accelerating AI-driven gains in tech giants like Nvidia and sustained economic resilience. The index trades near 5,780 after a 10% YTD rally, backed by robust February payrolls adding 275,000 jobs and cooling inflation at 3.1% CPI. Yet, persistent wage pressures and Fed Chair Powell's hawkish pivot have tempered rate-cut odds to 40% for March FOMC. Key catalysts ahead include March 12 CPI, March 20 Fed decision, and Q4 earnings, with resolution hinging on SPX intraday peaks above pivotal 5,850 resistance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?
$21,413 Объем
↓ 5700
1%
↓ 5600
3%
↓ 5500
1%
↓ 5350
1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
1%
↓ 4750
1%
$21,413 Объем
↓ 5700
1%
↓ 5600
3%
↓ 5500
1%
↓ 5350
1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
1%
↓ 4750
1%
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are assigning a strong implied probability to the S&P 500 surpassing 5,800 in March, reflecting bullish sentiment fueled by accelerating AI-driven gains in tech giants like Nvidia and sustained economic resilience. The index trades near 5,780 after a 10% YTD rally, backed by robust February payrolls adding 275,000 jobs and cooling inflation at 3.1% CPI. Yet, persistent wage pressures and Fed Chair Powell's hawkish pivot have tempered rate-cut odds to 40% for March FOMC. Key catalysts ahead include March 12 CPI, March 20 Fed decision, and Q4 earnings, with resolution hinging on SPX intraday peaks above pivotal 5,850 resistance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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