Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a roughly 60% probability for the S&P 500 closing above 5,200 by end-March, fueled by robust tech sector gains and optimism around Federal Reserve rate cut signals despite sticky inflation. The index recently hit a record high near 5,165, up 7% year-to-date on AI-driven rallies in Nvidia and peers, but faces headwinds from elevated valuations at 21x forward earnings. Key catalysts ahead include March 12 CPI data (expected +3.1% YoY), March 20 FOMC meeting with dot-plot updates, and Q4 earnings wrap-ups—watch for core PCE below 2.8% to sustain upside momentum, as any hotter prints could trigger volatility and cap gains below 5,300.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?
$38,200 Объем
↓ 5700
1%
↓ 5600
1%
↓ 5500
1%
↓ 5350
1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
1%
↓ 4750
1%
$38,200 Объем
↓ 5700
1%
↓ 5600
1%
↓ 5500
1%
↓ 5350
1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
1%
↓ 4750
1%
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a roughly 60% probability for the S&P 500 closing above 5,200 by end-March, fueled by robust tech sector gains and optimism around Federal Reserve rate cut signals despite sticky inflation. The index recently hit a record high near 5,165, up 7% year-to-date on AI-driven rallies in Nvidia and peers, but faces headwinds from elevated valuations at 21x forward earnings. Key catalysts ahead include March 12 CPI data (expected +3.1% YoY), March 20 FOMC meeting with dot-plot updates, and Q4 earnings wrap-ups—watch for core PCE below 2.8% to sustain upside momentum, as any hotter prints could trigger volatility and cap gains below 5,300.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы