Polymarket traders are pricing elevated end-of-March S&P 500 levels above 5,250 with over 60% implied probability, propelled by the index's surge past 5,200 on robust tech earnings from Nvidia and others, alongside cooling January CPI at 3.1% year-over-year. This sentiment reflects real capital betting on sustained momentum from AI-driven gains and potential Fed rate cut signals at the March 20 FOMC meeting, where dot plot revisions could affirm three 2024 easing moves. However, upside risks from sticky inflation via upcoming March 12 CPI and March 14 PPI data, plus high valuations at 21x forward earnings, temper consensus, echoing historical March seasonality with average 1.2% gains amid election-year volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЧто покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу марта?
Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу марта?
$391,203 Объем
↑ $8 000
<1%
↑ $7,500
<1%
↑ $7,300
1%
↑ $7,200
2%
↑ 7 100 $
3%
↑ $7,000
2%
↑ $6,900
5%
↓ $6,400
65%
↓ $6,300
27%
↓ $6,200
14%
↓ $6,000
7%
↓ $5 000
1%
$391,203 Объем
↑ $8 000
<1%
↑ $7,500
<1%
↑ $7,300
1%
↑ $7,200
2%
↑ 7 100 $
3%
↑ $7,000
2%
↑ $6,900
5%
↓ $6,400
65%
↓ $6,300
27%
↓ $6,200
14%
↓ $6,000
7%
↓ $5 000
1%
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing elevated end-of-March S&P 500 levels above 5,250 with over 60% implied probability, propelled by the index's surge past 5,200 on robust tech earnings from Nvidia and others, alongside cooling January CPI at 3.1% year-over-year. This sentiment reflects real capital betting on sustained momentum from AI-driven gains and potential Fed rate cut signals at the March 20 FOMC meeting, where dot plot revisions could affirm three 2024 easing moves. However, upside risks from sticky inflation via upcoming March 12 CPI and March 14 PPI data, plus high valuations at 21x forward earnings, temper consensus, echoing historical March seasonality with average 1.2% gains amid election-year volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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