Trader sentiment on Amazon's week-ending March 28 close clusters tightly around $200-$210 (aggregate 54.5% implied probability), reflecting balanced optimism from robust AWS revenue growth—up 19% YoY in Q4—against e-commerce margin pressures amid softening consumer spending. Recent catalysts include a 3% stock rally post-FOMC's March 19 hold on rates with dovish dot-plot revisions, boosting growth stock multiples, yet tariff risks under prospective policy shifts cap upside beyond $215. Key differentiators: technical resistance at $205 (prior high) versus support near $195 50-day SMA; upcoming durable goods data March 27 could sway volatility, with traders pricing 68% odds of sub-$220 close amid historical post-Fed mean reversion.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$205-$210 21%
$200-$205 19%
$210–$215 15%
$195-$200 13%
< $185
9%
$185–$190
9%
$190-$195
9%
$195-$200
13%
$200-$205
19%
$205-$210
21%
$210–$215
15%
$215-$220
11%
$220–$225
8%
$225–$230
8%
>$230
8%
$205-$210 21%
$200-$205 19%
$210–$215 15%
$195-$200 13%
< $185
9%
$185–$190
9%
$190-$195
9%
$195-$200
13%
$200-$205
19%
$205-$210
21%
$210–$215
15%
$215-$220
11%
$220–$225
8%
$225–$230
8%
>$230
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Amazon's week-ending March 28 close clusters tightly around $200-$210 (aggregate 54.5% implied probability), reflecting balanced optimism from robust AWS revenue growth—up 19% YoY in Q4—against e-commerce margin pressures amid softening consumer spending. Recent catalysts include a 3% stock rally post-FOMC's March 19 hold on rates with dovish dot-plot revisions, boosting growth stock multiples, yet tariff risks under prospective policy shifts cap upside beyond $215. Key differentiators: technical resistance at $205 (prior high) versus support near $195 50-day SMA; upcoming durable goods data March 27 could sway volatility, with traders pricing 68% odds of sub-$220 close amid historical post-Fed mean reversion.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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