Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability that Apple (AAPL) shares will close above $225 by March 31, reflecting bullish sentiment amid a tech sector rally fueled by anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts and robust iPhone 16 upgrade cycles. Current AAPL trades at $222.50, up 2.5% week-to-date, supported by $110 billion in buybacks authorized last quarter and services revenue growth hitting 11% YoY in Q1 FY2024. Key risks include China demand weakness and EU antitrust probes, but implied volatility at 25% suggests limited downside. Watch Friday's payrolls data and Nasdaq momentum, as a close above $228 would signal breakout potential toward $240.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$282,939 Объем
$210
98%
$220
98%
$230
88%
$240
78%
$250
45%
$260
18%
$270
6%
$280
7%
$290
1%
$300
1%
$310
1%
$320
1%
$330
<1%
$282,939 Объем
$210
98%
$220
98%
$230
88%
$240
78%
$250
45%
$260
18%
$270
6%
$280
7%
$290
1%
$300
1%
$310
1%
$320
1%
$330
<1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Открытие рынка: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability that Apple (AAPL) shares will close above $225 by March 31, reflecting bullish sentiment amid a tech sector rally fueled by anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts and robust iPhone 16 upgrade cycles. Current AAPL trades at $222.50, up 2.5% week-to-date, supported by $110 billion in buybacks authorized last quarter and services revenue growth hitting 11% YoY in Q1 FY2024. Key risks include China demand weakness and EU antitrust probes, but implied volatility at 25% suggests limited downside. Watch Friday's payrolls data and Nasdaq momentum, as a close above $228 would signal breakout potential toward $240.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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